Any Value In the Pick 6 Saturday at Tampa Bay ?

jcs11204 · #1 03-13-2008, 11:12 PM

War Pass is a single and the filly turf race i highly doubt anyone goes more then 2 deep with Dreaming of Anna and Lears Princess.... so if those 2 win, which is as close to locks as there is in this sport, can you possibly make money on the pick 6, because the other 4 races are wide open, and i dont think there is any single.... i really dont think you can even come up with 2 singles because of the big 2 in the filly turf race.... so 1 lock single who will be 1-9 and then the 1 race with 2 and then everything else looks like 3-6 deep at the very least..... just wondering what everyone thinks ? i wanted to play it, but now i dont know.

jcs11204 · #2 03-14-2008, 12:47 AM

even if you did this 1*2*3*3*5*5*2 is a costly....$900 and if the races you go deep in come up chalky there is a good chance you dont even get your money back

letswastemoney · #3 03-14-2008, 01:17 AM

Just single Lears Princess. Think of it this way...horses don't win twice in a row very often. So it's probably LP's turn to win over Dreaming of Anna. In any case, a 50% chance of winning a race is still pretty good.

Then again I am sort of biased...considering my avatar and MySpace group...

jcs11204 · #4 03-14-2008, 01:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by letswastemoney

Just single Lears Princess. Think of it this way...horses don't win twice in a row very often. So it's probably LP's turn to win over Dreaming of Anna. In any case, a 50% chance of winning a race is still pretty good.

Then again I am sort of biased...considering my avatar and MySpace group...

i could never ever single her, i think DOA is actually the more likely winner....

zippyneedsawin · #5 03-14-2008, 05:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by letswastemoney

Just single Lears Princess. Think of it this way...horses don't win twice in a row very often. So it's probably LP's turn to win over Dreaming of Anna. In any case, a 50% chance of winning a race is still pretty good.

Then again I am sort of biased...considering my avatar and MySpace group...

I think you're absolutely correct here. Especially at that distance, and the possibilty of a non-firm turf. Besides, LP is simply better, IMO. But, what do we know?

ArlJim78 · #6 03-14-2008, 09:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jcs11204

i could never ever single her, i think DOA is actually the more likely winner....

duh! then single DOA if you think she's more likely.

zippyneedsawin · #7 03-14-2008, 09:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78

duh! then single DOA if you think she's more likely.

that is too logical!

jcs11204 · #8 03-14-2008, 09:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78

duh! then single DOA if you think she's more likely.

would you single in that race ? ?

ArlJim78 · #9 03-14-2008, 09:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jcs11204

would you single in that race ? ?

I'll let you know after I look at the race closer.

SentToStud · #10 03-14-2008, 10:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jcs11204

War Pass is a single and the filly turf race i highly doubt anyone goes more then 2 deep with Dreaming of Anna and Lears Princess.... so if those 2 win, which is as close to locks as there is in this sport, can you possibly make money on the pick 6, because the other 4 races are wide open, and i dont think there is any single.... i really dont think you can even come up with 2 singles because of the big 2 in the filly turf race.... so 1 lock single who will be 1-9 and then the 1 race with 2 and then everything else looks like 3-6 deep at the very least..... just wondering what everyone thinks ? i wanted to play it, but now i dont know.

To answer your titled question, in a word, no.

I think the non-carry p-6 pools average between $2k - $3k there. Maybe tomorrow it goes as high as $5-$6,000. Your plan to turn into a Pick 4.5 (with 1 single and one 2-deep) means you'd be chasing part of a small pool with a large play, right? No way.

zippyneedsawin · #11 03-14-2008, 10:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SentToStud

To answer your titled question, in a word, no.

I think the non-carry p-6 pools average between $2k - $3k there. Maybe tomorrow it goes as high as $5-$6,000. Your plan to turn into a Pick 4.5 (with 1 single and one 2-deep) means you'd be chasing part of a small pool with a large play, right? No way.

That's what I was thinking too. Why play when it's likely to be a small pool?