3/8 (FG): LA Derby Day (6 Stakes)

[brianwspencer]

Originally Posted by philcski

I agree. I'm hoping she's undefeated heading into the Ky Oaks, where I will UNLOAD against her. The Churchill stretch will cause her to drop anchor and another bomb will win.

I'd be more than happy to see that happen, too. She should win again on Saturday which just moves it one step closer to her being unbeaten and insanely bet on Oaks day.

She's definitely not my favorite.

[Travis Stone]

Tale of Ekati has never won beyond 7 furlongs, nor around two turns. He's coming off a big layoff and they select this race for the return?

[SniperSB23]

Originally Posted by Travis Stone

Tale of Ekati has never won beyond 7 furlongs, nor around two turns. He's coming off a big layoff and they select this race for the return?

Same scenario for Majestic Warrior.

[Travis Stone]

Yeah, they both look like rush jobs with the KD in mind.

[Scav]

I can tell you this, if you find the winner of the turf race (Race 7), you will be able to get 35/1 or 45/1 on the Pk4, with Pyro (3/5), Indian Blessing (2/5) and Grasshopper (1/1). Good value as long as Daytona loses. How I would do it

Grasshopper($4.80)/Daytona($6.40)/Indian Blessing($3.40)/Pyro($3.80) paid $45 per $1 last time

If you find the winner and you can turn a bunch of chalk 'locks' into 45/1, not bad

[blackthroatedwind]

Why are you conceding the race to Grasshopper? I'm not saying he isn't the likeliest winner but what if he doesn't get the same perfect trip he got last time?

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

and how will you beat daytona . solis is not the answer.......

[blackthroatedwind]

Daytona looks too good to be true.

[Scav]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

Why are you conceding the race to Grasshopper? I'm not saying he isn't the likeliest winner but what if he doesn't get the same perfect trip he got last time?

Re: Grasshopper, Because I think he will improve 2nd off the layoff so I am expecting a better performance, and he is essentially facing the same horses, except Magna, who won't win.

Re: Daytona, what do you mean too good to be true, and Hooves, Solis will single-handily get this horse beat. Look at what he did when Solis DID ride him, completely different running style and horse. The horse I like in this race is Proudinsky. I don't think 1 mile is his game and he should appreciate the return to 9 furlongs, plus the addition of Gomez. Plus, do you really think they are going to let Daytona go again, I really think SOMEONE is going to go with him, especially because Solis will try and put a hammer lock on him...

And for the record, I am not hammering Solis, he has improved dramatically recently and has been riding well, I just don't think his style fits this horse.

[Scav]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

Why are you conceding the race to Grasshopper? I'm not saying he isn't the likeliest winner but what if he doesn't get the same perfect trip he got last time?

I am NOW off Grasshopper. You are right about his trip last time, and the fact is that there are multiple horses in this race that are technically faster then him (TG wise).

Brass Hat and Silver Lord are the plays IMO.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Scav

I am NOW off Grasshopper. You are right about his trip last time, and the fact is that there are multiple horses in this race that are technically faster then him (TG wise).

Brass Hat and Silver Lord are the plays IMO.

I guess he can't lose now.

The problem with the race is the lack of speed, which will obviously help Silver Lord, and hurt Brass Hat, but also it works in Grasshopper's favor as he can stalk Silver Lord and he is a solid grinder type.

Honestly, and maybe I just have no feel for these races, I couldn't make a solid case for anyone ouside the favorites in the four stakes I looked at.

With the torrential rain in NY, it was absolutely pouring tonight, tomorrow feels like pretty much a pass for me.