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  #1  
Old 02-26-2008, 09:06 PM
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KirisClown KirisClown is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
I have to jump in this LITF debate here. Personally I think it's kind of silly to put him on the list. While it's not his fault no one ran against him up to the Breeders Cup, winning races over Egg Head doesnt make you great. His 3 year old season was very good. But unfortunately when he faced his best field he faltered. Maybe he was sick, but we'll never know for sure.

I think if he is on the list then Honour and Glory has to be also. He faced much better and actually defeated his elders, in May of his 3 year old season in the Met Mile, shading 1:33 for a mile in the process, while running hard every step of the way. He also had a full campaign running in California, New york, Canada and Kentucky. His record isn't as flashy as LITF's, but there is no doubt in my mind that if he was running in those races that LITF was he would have been undefeated and I think he was a much better horse than LITF.
Well said... to put him in the top 25 of the past 20 years is just plain wrong. Maybe a list based on emotions alone he'd belong, but that's about it...

For anoyone that forgets that 96 Met, it was a heck of a race.. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=abxSntBb0DE
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  #2  
Old 02-26-2008, 09:58 PM
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This is an interesting discussion certainly but the one thing I dont get is why are some folks so certain that Smarty Jones is overrated? The one horse that I find that looks most similar to him in terms of his career/three yr old season is Majestic Prince.

9 wins out of 10, and failed to win the Belmont.

But in Smarty's case he seems more dominant over his field than Majestic Prince. And, he came very close to winning the TC whereas Majestic Pr. really had no chance from the start. That to me makes his run at the TC even more exciting than MP.

I dunno if MP is in the Hall of Fame (I didnt look at the site) but clearly a close case can be made for him and if so...how can you be so certain that Smary is overrated?
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  #3  
Old 02-26-2008, 10:09 PM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by easy goer
This is an interesting discussion certainly but the one thing I dont get is why are some folks so certain that Smarty Jones is overrated? The one horse that I find that looks most similar to him in terms of his career/three yr old season is Majestic Prince.

9 wins out of 10, and failed to win the Belmont.

But in Smarty's case he seems more dominant over his field than Majestic Prince. And, he came very close to winning the TC whereas Majestic Pr. really had no chance from the start. That to me makes his run at the TC even more exciting than MP.

I dunno if MP is in the Hall of Fame (I didnt look at the site) but clearly a close case can be made for him and if so...how can you be so certain that Smary is overrated?
Here for starters:

http://www.drf.com/row/pps/smartyjones.pdf

http://www.drf.com/row/pps/funnycide.pdf

Draw a line above Funny Cide's Belmont and compare the Beyers for the two to that point. Smarty got a 99 or 100 in the Belmont which is missing. There really isn't much to seperate them now is there? One just happened to run against much better horses and the other had the benefit of retiring right after his peak.
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  #4  
Old 02-26-2008, 11:16 PM
easy goer
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SniperSB23

Draw a line above Funny Cide's Belmont and compare the Beyers for the two to that point. Smarty got a 99 or 100 in the Belmont which is missing. There really isn't much to seperate them now is there? One just happened to run against much better horses and the other had the benefit of retiring right after his peak.
So it's all based on Beyer numbers? I knew I was missing something.

Hey I'll bet I can post the BSF from a 3yr old campaign from a classic winner and you tell me which horse it was:

104-107-112-111-104

WHose that? Sea Hero? The Scoundrel? Dr. Fager? Tudor Minstrel?

Last edited by easy goer : 02-26-2008 at 11:30 PM.
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  #5  
Old 02-26-2008, 11:23 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by easy goer
So it's all based on Beyer numbers? I knew I was missing something.

Don't sell yourself short....you're missing more than that.

Being that most top horses retire early, and never get to meet horses of other generations, there really is no unbiased way to compare them without using speed figures. Since Beyers are the most widespread it is hardly surprising that people use them as the example.
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  #6  
Old 02-26-2008, 11:46 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Don't sell yourself short....you're missing more than that.

Being that most top horses retire early, and never get to meet horses of other generations, there really is no unbiased way to compare them without using speed figures. Since Beyers are the most widespread it is hardly surprising that people use them as the example.
You know what we ought to do is take the best sets of BSFs from three year olds to determine who really are the top 25. I wonder where Lionheart comes out. Or LITF, or Go for Gin..
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  #7  
Old 02-27-2008, 07:46 AM
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zippyneedsawin zippyneedsawin is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by easy goer
You know what we ought to do is take the best sets of BSFs from three year olds to determine who really are the top 25. I wonder where Lionheart comes out. Or LITF, or Go for Gin..
That may not be as easy as it appears. When the results are tabulated, they may need to 'adjust' the figures.
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  #8  
Old 02-27-2008, 08:58 AM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by easy goer
You know what we ought to do is take the best sets of BSFs from three year olds to determine who really are the top 25. I wonder where Lionheart comes out. Or LITF, or Go for Gin..
Actually, that is the best idea on this thread. I wish I had access to all of them. I think 1987 was the first year they were published so they should all be out there somewhere. They (or other speed figures) are the only fair way to compare horses from different crops.
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  #9  
Old 02-26-2008, 11:26 PM
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kentuckyrosesinmay kentuckyrosesinmay is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by easy goer
So it's all based on Beyer numbers? I knew I was missing something.
The more you read, the more you will know that almost everything in horse racing depends on Beyer Speed Figures on this board.

They are the Bible here.
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  #10  
Old 02-27-2008, 08:37 AM
horseofcourse horseofcourse is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SniperSB23
Here for starters:

http://www.drf.com/row/pps/smartyjones.pdf

http://www.drf.com/row/pps/funnycide.pdf

Draw a line above Funny Cide's Belmont and compare the Beyers for the two to that point. Smarty got a 99 or 100 in the Belmont which is missing. There really isn't much to seperate them now is there? One just happened to run against much better horses and the other had the benefit of retiring right after his peak.
OH man...that's my schtick!! I used to get humiliated on the other board for doing this!!
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  #11  
Old 02-27-2008, 09:01 AM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by horseofcourse
OH man...that's my schtick!! I used to get humiliated on the other board for doing this!!
LOL, I originally credited you for it but then I wasn't sure if you'd want me to or not so I deleted it.
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  #12  
Old 02-27-2008, 09:17 AM
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philcski philcski is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SniperSB23
Here for starters:

http://www.drf.com/row/pps/smartyjones.pdf

http://www.drf.com/row/pps/funnycide.pdf

Draw a line above Funny Cide's Belmont and compare the Beyers for the two to that point. Smarty got a 99 or 100 in the Belmont which is missing. There really isn't much to seperate them now is there? One just happened to run against much better horses and the other had the benefit of retiring right after his peak.
I've argued for years that the Beyer on the Count Fleet was flat out wrong. They can't necessarily be taken at face value, you know that.
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  #13  
Old 02-27-2008, 09:19 AM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
I've argued for years that the Beyer on the Count Fleet was flat out wrong. They can't necessarily be taken at face value, you know that.

I've argued for years that the 2004 Kentucky Derby is a complete throw out due to the hurricane like rain that hit Churchill less than an hour before the race. That race can't necessarily be taken at face value, you know that.
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  #14  
Old 02-27-2008, 09:23 AM
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philcski philcski is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I've argued for years that the 2004 Kentucky Derby is a complete throw out due to the hurricane like rain that hit Churchill less than an hour before the race. That race can't necessarily be taken at face value, you know that.
No argument against that, completely agre. Was the equivalent of this year's BC. Still... the two best probably ran 1-2. Maybe Birdstone or the Cliff's Edge gets a piece if it's dry instead of Imperialism, and perhaps the race is a little faster against the clock (which, to be fair, was a pretty fabricated Beyer, as it had to be.)
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Old 02-26-2008, 10:10 PM
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miraja2 miraja2 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by easy goer
This is an interesting discussion certainly but the one thing I dont get is why are some folks so certain that Smarty Jones is overrated? The one horse that I find that looks most similar to him in terms of his career/three yr old season is Majestic Prince.

9 wins out of 10, and failed to win the Belmont.

But in Smarty's case he seems more dominant over his field than Majestic Prince. And, he came very close to winning the TC whereas Majestic Pr. really had no chance from the start. That to me makes his run at the TC even more exciting than MP.

I dunno if MP is in the Hall of Fame (I didnt look at the site) but clearly a close case can be made for him and if so...how can you be so certain that Smary is overrated?
He went in the HOF in 1988.
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  #16  
Old 02-26-2008, 10:12 PM
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RolloTomasi RolloTomasi is offline
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Top 25 Derby Also-Rans That Didn't Win The Preakness or Belmont:

Gulch- 87
Cryptoclearance- 87
Seeking the Gold- 88
Hawkster- 89
Lost Mountain- 91
Fly So Free- 91
Dr. Devious- 92
Kissin Kris- 93
Holy Bull- 94
Soul of the Matter- 94
Honour and Glory- 96
Skip Away- 96
Old Trieste- 98
Favorite Trick- 98
General Challenge- 99
War Chant- 00
Captain Steve- 00
Startac- 01
Harlan's Holiday- 02
Came Home- 02
Medaglia D'Oro- 02
Ten Most Wanted- 03
Showing Up- 06
Tiago- 07
Any Given Saturday- 07
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  #17  
Old 02-26-2008, 10:37 PM
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RolloTomasi RolloTomasi is offline
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Top 25 Favorite Derby Flops:

Circular Quay- 07
Sinister Minister- 06
Bandini- 05
Bellamy Road- 05
Tapit- 04
Empire Maker- 03
Saarland- 02
Point Given- 01
The Deputy- 00
High Yield- 00
Unbridled's Song- 96
Skip Away- 96
Talkin Man- 95
Holy Bull- 94
Arazi- 92
Technology- 92
Hansel- 91
Mister Frisky- 90
Easy Goer- 89
Houston- 89
Western Playboy- 89
Private Terms- 88
Lively One- 88
Demons Begone- 87
Capote- 87
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  #18  
Old 02-26-2008, 11:19 PM
easy goer
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RolloTomasi
Top 25 Favorite Derby Flops:
You missed Sweet Northern Saint who in the final flash went off the favorite in Barbaro's '06 romp. SNS is still burning people's money at even money odds.

Seriously, that situation does not look like it's going to end pretty.
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  #19  
Old 02-26-2008, 10:37 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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I'll give you a horse that I assume hasn't been mentioned, and probably has no business being on a legitimate list, but was one of the best 3YOs of the last 20 years when sound.......Unbridled's Song.
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  #20  
Old 02-26-2008, 10:46 PM
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King Glorious King Glorious is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I'll give you a horse that I assume hasn't been mentioned, and probably has no business being on a legitimate list, but was one of the best 3YOs of the last 20 years when sound.......Unbridled's Song.
I agree.
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