2/24 (GP): Fountain of Youth (Gr. II)

[blackthroatedwind]

You're not wrong that nobody here jumps off the page but it is actually a deeper field than we usually get and enough possibly OK horses that we probably won't see an undeserving winner per se. These horses are all so lightly raced that it's hard to have a true handle on anybody.

I think Kentucky Bear is the most talented horse in the race, which you mentioned, but I also worry about this being too much too soon. But, it's not like any of them are that experienced.

[SniperSB23]

Worth noting that Barbaro won the Florida Derby from post 10 so Adriano would actually have to do more than Barbaro did to win from 12. Of course scratches could alter things considerably with two questionable Zayat horses in the field.

[SniperSB23]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

You're not wrong that nobody here jumps off the page but it is actually a deeper field than we usually get and enough possibly OK horses that we probably won't see an undeserving winner per se. These horses are all so lightly raced that it's hard to have a true handle on anybody.

I think Kentucky Bear is the most talented horse in the race, which you mentioned, but I also worry about this being too much too soon. But, it's not like any of them are that experienced.

I really like Kentucky Bear but I'm worried about the distance in addition to too much too soon. He's not exactly screaming distance pedigree. I hope he wins since I think he has the most upside here and we need some more really good horses to come out of this crop but I'm not sure if he is a good play.

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by SniperSB23

I really like Kentucky Bear but I'm worried about the distance in addition to too much too soon. He's not exactly screaming distance pedigree. I hope he wins since I think he has the most upside here and we need some more really good horses to come out of this crop but I'm not sure if he is a good play.

In my opinion he is likely to be the most overbet horse in the race.
Betting a colt with a sprinter's pedigree stretching out to 9f and stepping way up in class after an off-the-pace score going 8f is not usually a smart move as far as I am concerned.
Perhaps he is really just that good and wins, but as far as betting goes, I am looking elsewhere.

[cakes44]

I'm not really an angle handicapper, but that $.19 ROI on 2nd starters for Reade Baker is something else. I don't remember seeing a number that low in a graded race.

[zippyneedsawin]

Originally Posted by SniperSB23

I really like Kentucky Bear but I'm worried about the distance in addition to too much too soon. He's not exactly screaming distance pedigree. I hope he wins since I think he has the most upside here and we need some more really good horses to come out of this crop but I'm not sure if he is a good play.

Having a decent post, as well, makes him more playable than some others. I guess in a race that looks pretty wide open, ya gotta take a stand with one of them--- I'm going with KB. Good luck!

[sumitas]

Originally Posted by zippyneedsawin

Having a decent post, as well, makes him more playable than some others. I guess in a race that looks pretty wide open, ya gotta take a stand with one of them--- I'm going with KB. Good luck!

The Bear looks as good as any of them. BTW asked the question too much too soon ? We'll find out the answer soon.

[Hoist Her Flag]

Halo Najib and Adriano for me

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by Hoist Her Flag

Halo Najib and Adriano for me

Are you serious?

[Dunbar]

Someone please post the finish right after the race.

Thanks,
Dunbar

[2MinsToPost]

I honestly think that anyone who overlooks Anak Nakal in this spot is possibly tearing up a ticket in a few minutes. Granted this horse may not win but I am banking otherwise. Wide open field and afterall it is a Derby Prep. Who sends their best effort and who does not, the usual affair. I like the jock on Anak Nakal, stays aboard again after 11/24/07. Zito trained so you know guns are ready. I see in my virgin handicapping eyes a quick speed duel out of the gate between Coal, Golden, Court, Bear and Z. As these 5 battle away with their inside post along comes Monba, Anak and Fields and when it is all said and done I see Anak on top with either Fields or Monba or Ready Set in second.

Call me crazy cause I am.