Tampa Wednesday 02-20-08

[tiggerv]

Originally Posted by docicu3

It's pretty Tiggerv hard to bail on a jock that won with her last out and has a $2.70 ROI with the trainer and a 15% win rate on turf.....

I am a little surprised that all three of you (Bigs and Elvis) want no part of the #7 "You Are Worthy" with Garcia aboard for Hyatt who has insane #'s at Tampa and Turf ....small sample but stick out nonetheless

The comment on Rosario was more of a joke than anything because I try not to make a habit of betting on jocks that are 2 for their last 80 and have an ROI of -.92 over the last year even if they had a 27 dollar winner last out that gives an inflated ROI with the trainer.

You Are Worthy does have some positives but I also see a horse that arguably has the worst turf pedigree in the field. She is not only moving dirt to turf but also sprint to route. Finally I think the jump from maiden claimers to first level allowance is huge. Had she come out of a better maiden race I might be more inclined to put her on the ticket. Certainly there is some value if she floats up from the ML odds since she could improve big 2nd out.