Castellano is one lucky rider

Originally Posted by Dunbar

Can't see him losing again? I guess you should jump on the 4-1 future odds at http://www.wsex.com/cgi/zshow_bets?44381 on Bernardini winning the BCC! Even if there's just a 50% chance he makes the race, you'd be getting an effective 2-1. That's pretty good for a horse you can't see losing. (I truly apologize for my tone, but statements like "can't see him losing" drive me slightly crazy.)

I can personally see lots of ways Bernardini can lose. Maybe 100 ways, even. The easiest ways, however, are Flower Alley, Lava Man, and Invasor.

That's not to say that I don't like this horse. I like him a LOT. He's run 2 huge races. But I'm not even close to being ready to annoint him the 2nd coming of Spectacular Bid. To argue his superiority over Roses In May and Ghostzapper is ridiculous, IMO. (As if the field in the Jim Dandy can be compared with the Dubai race or RIM's BCC!)

--Dunbar

btw, if you DO want BCC future action on Bernardini, you'd almost certainly do better waiting for Pinnacle and TheGreek to post their odds.

I'll stick with betting on the race on race day. Right now I really like Flower Alley in the Whitney, Showing Up in the Secretariat, and Henny Huges in the Kings Bishop. I don't see how any lose and I think all go off around 3-2. I am thinking about a 3 horse parlay, maybe turn $1000 into $15-16,000.