Tampa Thursday: $39k Carryover

[tiggerv]

Originally Posted by tiggerv

Oh man, I just started looking at the card and I am going to have to throw a dart in this one.

I think I am going to single the 6 Siempre Verde. Based on all the pace and speed figures I can come up with she dominates the field. Multiple negatives though, she will have to come from off the pace and doesn't appear to pass too many horses. Turf to dirt, route to sprint, and only 2 checks in 21 starts but I think the previous trainer (4%) didn't know how to find appropriate spots for this horse. Pedigree for dirt looks OK to me. If I don't single, I think I may have to go 5 or 6 deep and include the 1, 4, 8, 9 and 12.

[Bigsmc]

Originally Posted by tiggerv

I think I am going to single the 6 Siempre Verde. Based on all the pace and speed figures I can come up with she dominates the field. Multiple negatives though, she will have to come from off the pace and doesn't appear to pass too many horses. Turf to dirt, route to sprint, and only 2 checks in 21 starts but I think the previous trainer (4%) didn't know how to find appropriate spots for this horse. Pedigree for dirt looks OK to me. If I don't single, I think I may have to go 5 or 6 deep and include the 1, 4, 8, 9 and 12.

I'm with you on the 4,6,8,9,12. I'm not sold on the 1. She had 4 chances here last year at similar levels and didn't finish better than 5th. It's not like she was hot and something went wrong in her last requiring the layoff. She wasn't good in any of the races and I don't see her being a different animal today.

Singling the 6 is a very daring move and may be the right move. The severe cutback in distance is probably the biggest reason I am not singling. I envision this one having too much work to do late. I just don't know about this one. Unfortunately, my opinion is not clearer after sleeping on it.

Possible singles for me....
Tomochichi in the 7th (Post hurts, but looks to be much the best to me)
Stormin Yank in the 8th (blew by some good horses in his debut)
Divine Wonder in the 9th (really seems to have his act together)
Affirmed Action in the 10th (Addition of blinks gives this one a big wire to wire shot, needs a scratch of the Albertrani)

Ticket(s) up later. My first crack at it last night was over $700, I've got some decisions to make because I am not spending that much today.

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

race 5


pp 2 right on it ..e dubai and past med tries wins it
pp 3 dazingle
pp 1 blues muse

race 6

pp 6 siempre verde
pp 4 max is not


race 7

pp 10tomochichi
pp 4 vocabulary




race 8
pp 10 chasing smoke
pp 3 stormin yank
pp 8 winn a tour


race 9

pp 9 devine wonder
pp 6 golden trend
pp 2 stormy run

race 10

pp 9 ru de argent
pp 10 top management

[tiggerv]

Originally Posted by Bigsmc

Possible singles for me....
Stormin Yank in the 8th (blew by some good horses in his debut)

Interesting I will have to watch that race since I was considering 8 Wynn A Tour as a single. Ritchey off a maiden win is a nice ROI and I thought coming out of MSW company vs MC company that Stormin Yank ran in was the difference. However I just noticed that it looks like the 2nd and 3rd place finisher in Stormin Yank's race won next out.

My ticket is getting too expensive. I will wait for scratches.

[Bigsmc]

Originally Posted by tiggerv

Interesting I will have to watch that race since I was considering 8 Wynn A Tour as a single. Ritchey off a maiden win is a nice ROI and I thought coming out of MSW company vs MC company that Stormin Yank ran in was the difference. However I just noticed that it looks like the 2nd and 3rd place finisher in Stormin Yank's race won next out.

My ticket is getting too expensive. I will wait for scratches.

The longer I look at the race, the more leery I become. I can't leave the 11 out.

Some nice looking horses are being left out in order to make the ticket playable. As of now I have 3,8,11 on my main.

[Bigsmc]

Okay. My main ticket (for now, I've only changed it 5 times in the last half hour):

Race 5:
3 - Danzeagle 3rd
11 - My Attilissa

Race 6:
4 - Max Is Not
6 - Siempre Verde

Race 7:
9 - Backtracken
10 - Tomochichi

Race 8:
3 - Stormin Yank
8 - Wynn a Tour
11 - Service Corps

Race 9;
9 - Divine Wonder

Race 10:
7 - Equation
8 - Affirmed Action
10 - Top Management

2 x 2 x 2 x 3 x 1 x 3 = $144

[tiggerv]

Originally Posted by Bigsmc

The longer I look at the race, the more leery I become. I can't leave the 11 out.

Some nice looking horses are being left out in order to make the ticket playable. As of now I have 3,8,11 on my main.

I agree. I am finding it quite difficult to find races to single. Probably means that I shouldn't play or just take a small stab and hope for it to be my day.

[Bigsmc]

Originally Posted by tiggerv

I agree. I am finding it quite difficult to find races to single. Probably means that I shouldn't play or just take a small stab and hope for it to be my day.

The above ticket is all that I am playing for that very reason. Hope to get lucky or root like hell for another carry.

[Bigsmc]

Pick 4

Small Ticket:

6,7,9,10/3,8,11/5,9/7,8 = $48 paid $328.30

Big Ticket:

5,6,7,9,10/3,4,8,11/5,9/7,8,9,10 = $160 paid $328.30

GL