The case for why Pyro is the most likely Derby winner right now

Originally Posted by justindew

Assuming my balls aren't being busted, which is a dangerous assumption here....

El Gato Malo- It seems like there is less talk about his potential distance limitations than there is about War Pass, even though this one is by El Corredor. Or maybe there is talk and I am just not hearing it. Plus there's the whole synthetic track thing. But he's done nothing wrong. It would not be a shock if he went into the KY Derby undefeated, where it came down to an issue of his ability to handle the surface and the distance. I like him.

Crown of Thorns- I'm not sure what he beat in the Lewis. I like others out West more than him. Probably #2 in his own barn anyway.

Court Vision- This is the kind of horse I am usually wrong about. He's looked awesome, but the speed numbers are not where some would want them to be. I would rate him among my Top 5 at this point, but I have this fear that BTW is on to something in his criticism.

This was an attempt to build instead of
tear down. It is very easy to tear down.
One can sit here and not like any horse
and then just wait for others to fail
come back and say "you fool, I told you that
horse was a pile o crap".

It is much more difficult to actually like horses (plural)
early, that due to probability will ultimately fail,
and then wait for the parade to take the simpleton
route of piling on a failed prediction.

I also thought that El Gato Malo was due to run in
the Southwest and get off the syn.? I think there
are some other prospects in the Southwest as well?

I guess we will find out something about Into Mischief
soon, Mandella has made it clear the horse has suffered
from the rain... a little too much. So we may be looking
at a less than stellar effort at 7f. I dont know if this is
Mandella's MO with horses though (talking down a horse).

Trying to keep track of how all these syn. running horses
come out of this mess will be very interesting. I think
everyone will take home different lessons. If a horse wins
the Derby after going a purely syn. route...