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  #1  
Old 01-31-2008, 04:06 PM
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Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
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Originally Posted by SniperSB23
I'd rather Pelfrey get some experience getting shelled than go with Lohse (and paying him a lot). I'd take an inning eater like Livan for cheap long before him. I don't even think Lohse would be much of an upgrade over Jorge Sosa. I agree that Hernandez and Pedro won't be healthy all season but they have seven guys that can start already if need be. If they want to add one more they should do it for cheap. Lieber went for 1 year $3.5 million to the Cubs. That is a heck of a lot better deal than a multiyear deal for Lohse.
Livan is completely finished. Loshe is not good but he is what he is. A 6 inning guy who will battle and give up about 3 runs an outing. He never misses a start and may wind up being effective out of the bullpen if everybody stays healthy. I agree that you dont want to get tied down to him for big money. But it is looking like he has very few options and may agree to a short term deal. He is better insurance than anyone else out there.
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Old 01-31-2008, 04:16 PM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
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Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Livan is completely finished. Loshe is not good but he is what he is. A 6 inning guy who will battle and give up about 3 runs an outing. He never misses a start and may wind up being effective out of the bullpen if everybody stays healthy. I agree that you dont want to get tied down to him for big money. But it is looking like he has very few options and may agree to a short term deal. He is better insurance than anyone else out there.
A finished Livan still managed to put up just as good ERAs as Lohse the past two years and had a much better record. I agree that Livan will never be as good as he was but if he is available for one year and Lohse isn't then I think it is a much better deal for the Mets.
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  #3  
Old 01-31-2008, 05:16 PM
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Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
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Originally Posted by SniperSB23
A finished Livan still managed to put up just as good ERAs as Lohse the past two years and had a much better record. I agree that Livan will never be as good as he was but if he is available for one year and Lohse isn't then I think it is a much better deal for the Mets.
You know as well as I do that wins and losses are a poor measuring stick especially for middle of the road pitchers. Loshe was much better than Livan was last year.

Loshe- 192 innings 207 hits 57 bbs 122 k's 4.62 ERA hitters had a .279 avge against and .339 OBP

Livan- 204 Innings 247 hits 79 bbs 90 k's 4.93 era hitters batted .308 with a .371 OPB.

When you consider that Loshe played in Cincy and then Philly last year which are 2 stone cold hitters parks and considering that he played with an awful Cincy defense behind him for most of the year the edge is even greater. Livan used to K around 180 in a similar amount of innings, that drop is a horrible sign for a guy who allows as many hits as he does. He seems to be suffering from pitching 250 innings a year all these years. The Livan of 3 or 4 years ago is much better than Loshe ever was but he looks cooked.
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  #4  
Old 02-01-2008, 12:04 AM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
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Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
You know as well as I do that wins and losses are a poor measuring stick especially for middle of the road pitchers. Loshe was much better than Livan was last year.

Loshe- 192 innings 207 hits 57 bbs 122 k's 4.62 ERA hitters had a .279 avge against and .339 OBP

Livan- 204 Innings 247 hits 79 bbs 90 k's 4.93 era hitters batted .308 with a .371 OPB.

When you consider that Loshe played in Cincy and then Philly last year which are 2 stone cold hitters parks and considering that he played with an awful Cincy defense behind him for most of the year the edge is even greater. Livan used to K around 180 in a similar amount of innings, that drop is a horrible sign for a guy who allows as many hits as he does. He seems to be suffering from pitching 250 innings a year all these years. The Livan of 3 or 4 years ago is much better than Loshe ever was but he looks cooked.
When they are both pitching for a bad team then record is a bit more of a factor. Livan's K's were way down and his WHIP was horrible yet he still managed an ERA close to Lohse's. Regardless, it isn't who is better, it is what they will cost. And if Lohse wants a multi-year deal then I think they are far better off bringing in Livan to be insurance on a one year deal.
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  #5  
Old 02-01-2008, 12:23 AM
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Originally Posted by SniperSB23
When they are both pitching for a bad team then record is a bit more of a factor. Livan's K's were way down and his WHIP was horrible yet he still managed an ERA close to Lohse's. Regardless, it isn't who is better, it is what they will cost. And if Lohse wants a multi-year deal then I think they are far better off bringing in Livan to be insurance on a one year deal.
Maybe you missed the playoffs last year. The Diamondbacks were in them. Livan was a batting practice picher last year. If he came free they would be making a mistake.
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Old 02-01-2008, 09:39 AM
horseofcourse horseofcourse is offline
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Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Maybe you missed the playoffs last year. The Diamondbacks were in them. Livan was a batting practice picher last year. If he came free they would be making a mistake.
Didn't Lohse make like one playoff pitch and give up a grand slam effectively ending the Phillies?? He's horrible, but I guess playing in the minor league as the Mets are in he'll be ok.
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  #7  
Old 02-01-2008, 09:58 AM
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Originally Posted by horseofcourse
Didn't Lohse make like one playoff pitch and give up a grand slam effectively ending the Phillies?? He's horrible, but I guess playing in the minor league as the Mets are in he'll be ok.
He isnt very good but pitching in Shea with a solid defense behind him will make him bearable.
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  #8  
Old 02-01-2008, 04:00 PM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
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Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Maybe you missed the playoffs last year. The Diamondbacks were in them. Livan was a batting practice picher last year. If he came free they would be making a mistake.
Everyone in the NL was horrible last year.
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  #9  
Old 02-01-2008, 04:59 PM
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Everyone in the NL was horrible last year.
Livan was among the horribilist
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