Curlin and Pyro

[King Glorious]

Originally Posted by miraja2

I agree with the second thing I have highlighted here, but I disagree with the first. If everyone on this board participated in some sort of lengthy contest with a lot of races involved, I think the top handicappers would come out ahead. Does that mean that on a given day an average or below-average handicapper like me can't beat a pro? Of course not. Does it mean the average cappers shouldn't voice their opinions too? Nope.
But in the long run, none of that changes the fact that they'll beat me....and you. Sure we might catch the big winner every once in a blue moon that they miss, but I don't think that changes the fact that there is a fairly vast difference between the great handicappers and the average handicappers, and also between the average handicappers and the clueless morons.

I'm not speaking of handicapping though. In that area, I do believe that there is a big difference among us on here. When it comes to handicapping and wagering, I'm arguably the biggest idiot on here because I'm too stubborn. But look at the example I gave earlier. I didn't believe that Midnight Lute would win the Sprint. Nine times out of 10, I wouldn't have included him on my ticket because I have a hard time justifying to myself playing a horse that I think can't win. And I would have lost. But this time, I did play him and I cashed a ticket. I cashed even though when I handicapped and analyzed the race, I didn't figure him as a winner. So while I admit that when it comes to handicapping and figuring out how to construct tickets and bet, there can be big differences, I think that when it comes to just flat out picking out who's a good horse and who's a bad horse, we are pretty much even.