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  #1  
Old 07-29-2006, 12:09 PM
swedejxn swedejxn is offline
Sheepshead Bay
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Gulf Shores, AL
Posts: 1,080
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Just throwing a few out for comparison....

1.. 1-8
2. 4-7
3. 6-3
4. 5-(7or9)
5. 1-12
6. 11-9 cant give up on (Impeachthepro)
7. 6-7
8. LofVenice is going to be the best of this bunch.... but cant make any money like this.... 7-4

9. Maybe Oh So Awesome if he wins.... 3-4

try 4-3- all and 3-4-all in the tris...

10. 6 and 12 about the same....
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  #2  
Old 07-29-2006, 01:15 PM
ceejay ceejay is offline
Detroit Race Course
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Oklahoma City
Posts: 289
Default Late P4 play for $74


This play allows 2 or less ML favorites to win. Key longshot may be Sweet talker in the Di. Thinking she could steal it up front.

% table below:

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  #3  
Old 07-29-2006, 02:56 PM
lemoncrush's Avatar
lemoncrush lemoncrush is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Blaine, MN
Posts: 1,408
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Nice hit on the super in race 4
I'm watching, not wagering today..especially with the off track.
Good luck the rest of the way.
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  #4  
Old 07-29-2006, 10:31 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ceejay

This play allows 2 or less ML favorites to win. Key longshot may be Sweet talker in the Di. Thinking she could steal it up front.

% table below:

Yeah, this is pretty interesting, can you give me the downlow on this?
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  #5  
Old 07-30-2006, 11:31 AM
ceejay ceejay is offline
Detroit Race Course
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Oklahoma City
Posts: 289
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
Yeah, this is pretty interesting, can you give me the downlow on this?
Downlow on yesterday's play? I didn't make the bet after it came up wet. It turned out too short with 3 Favs winning anyway. In my reckoning the 12 was the likely favorite in R10 once the rain came.

Downlow on the software used to create the plays? see http://bet-smart.com . I consider "bet-smart" part of my edge. (in fact I used it when I won the PaceAdvantage.com "Ridersup Memorial Aqueduct Inner Track Challenge" by open lengths this year) I've learned to manipulate the program, really a complex spreadsheet, and try not to even play tickets with >2 favs (but it is sometime hard to predict downleg favoritism) which usually dissapoint price-wise. I'd rather not cash but have had a shot at a big score than cash but lose money.
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  #6  
Old 07-29-2006, 02:36 PM
DerbyCat's Avatar
DerbyCat DerbyCat is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: San Carlos, CA
Posts: 1,772
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If the track is a little sloppy, why not bet on #4 fly to me... she won the FL juvenile in the slop last fall...
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