1/25: Aqueduct (6th-9th)

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

Greeley's Legacy won't be anywhere near 5-1 and in the 9th race, I think it is a mistake to pick the " Schettino entry ", unless you really like the firster, because one must scratch, and I presume it is the 1a you like. Maybe I'm wrong about that, but it's an important distinction.

Agreed.. on both scores. Originally wrote Schettino as the 1a but figure to wait for Scratches to ammend.

How low do you expect Greeley to go? Doesn't Kiaran figure to get bet a little with Nkosi too?

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Agreed.. on both scores. Originally wrote Schettino as the 1a but figure to wait for Scratches to ammend.

How low do you expect Greeley to go? Doesn't Kiaran figure to get bet a little with Nkosi too?

Nikosi Reigns has been horrible. Greeley's Legacy could easily be below 2-1 but 5-1 feels to me like the highest. Frankly, anything higher seems suspicious. If he's right, and the race/speed stays intact, he will be extemely hard to beat.

[jms62]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

Nikosi Reigns has been horrible. Greeley's Legacy could easily be below 2-1 but 5-1 feels to me like the highest. Frankly, anything higher seems suspicious. If he's right, and the race/speed stays intact, he will be extemely hard to beat.

Don't you thing Greeley's L will be hampered by the post position ? Outside wins haven't been that easy to get here in routes.

[blackthroatedwind]

Dominguez understands saving ground. The post is less of a problem than a possible bias. We'll see how the track is playing.

I'm not personally overly worried because I may not bet. Greeley's Legacy is a superior animal to the horses in this race. If the track is reasonably fair, and it's a reasonably fairly run race, he will win.

[zippyneedsawin]

route races have had less of a bias than those 6 furlong sprints at Aqueduct, IMO.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by zippyneedsawin

route races have had less of a bias than those 6 furlong sprints at Aqueduct, IMO.

IMO it's the exact opposite.

[zippyneedsawin]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

IMO it's the exact opposite.

i'm sure i haven't been following the inner meet as closely as you have, but based on the charts, I don't see it.

[Bobby Fischer]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

Dominguez understands saving ground. The post is less of a problem than a possible bias. We'll see how the track is playing.

I'm not personally overly worried because I may not bet. Greeley's Legacy is a superior animal to the horses in this race. If the track is reasonably fair, and it's a reasonably fairly run race, he will win.

agreed.

what do you think about Hurrah in terms of coming back off of 9 days rest, where he had that pinch at the start and had to be hard ridden?
He's not much of a price (at least to open). Normally I would consider a horse like this as a key horse in a trifecta, not sure how he will bounce back...

[fpsoxfan]

Glad I stayed away from the first two races. Chalk and Chalk.

Will it be a total Aquechalk day?

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer

agreed.

what do you think about Hurrah in terms of coming back off of 9 days rest, where he had that pinch at the start and had to be hard ridden?
He's not much of a price (at least to open). Normally I would consider a horse like this as a key horse in a trifecta, not sure how he will bounce back...

Hurrah only won last time because the second horse got a horrendous ride. As for the short rest.....I can't even fathom a guess how horses from Contessa's barn run from one day to the next.

I suppose he's not impossible but I don't particularly like his chances today.