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  #1  
Old 01-12-2008, 03:15 PM
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pointman pointman is offline
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FG

Macho Again
alt - Mad Flatter

SA

El Gato Malo
alt - Talk of a Cat
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  #2  
Old 01-13-2008, 10:38 AM
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DerbyCat DerbyCat is offline
Churchill Downs
 
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Nice prices in the two contest races, winner of the LeComte (Z Fortune) paid $12.00/$5.60/$4.00 and winner of the San Rafael (El Gato Malo) paid $6.80/$4.40/$2.60 giving a $35.40 boost to the three DTers that picked both winners – Bigsmc, Ninetoone and smitty1278. Our current leaders are Bigsmc, Hickory Hill Hoff and Mumtaz. Congrats to the top three (and everyone else, too )!!!

Current Standings and Totals:
# DT Member LeComte San Rafael TOTAL
1 Bigsmc $21.60 $13.80 = $78.40
2 Hickory Hill Hoff $0.00 $13.80 = $60.70
3 Mumtaz $0.00 $13.80 = $53.80
4 Gaines2b $0.00 $0.00 = $50.00
5 cboh11 $0.00 $2.20 = $49.10
6 Oaklawnfan $21.60 $0.00 = $47.60
7 Scav $0.00 $9.20 = $47.50
8 DerbyCat $21.60 $0.00 = $46.40
9 2 Dollar Bill $0.00 $13.80 = $45.60
9 viscount26 $0.00 $13.80 = $45.60
11 mes5107 $0.00 $2.20 = $45.20
12 Mclem10011 $0.00 $0.00 = $44.00
13 golfer $7.00 $9.20 = $43.20
14 hi im god $6.00 $13.80 = $38.20
14 Ninetoone $21.60 $13.80 = $38.20
16 Heels1989 $0.00 $13.80 = $37.00
17 MaTH716 $0.00 $13.80 = $36.70
17 megahertz $0.00 $13.80 = $36.70
19 pgiaco $21.60 $9.20 = $35.40
19 smitty1278 $21.60 $13.80 = $35.40
21 AngelSita $0.00 $9.20 = $35.20
22 Swedejxn $21.60 $0.00 = $33.00
23 Hoist Her Flag $0.00 $13.80 = $32.80
24 pweizer $7.00 $2.20 = $32.40
25 TheSpyder $0.00 $13.80 = $32.20
26 Dunbar $21.60 $9.20 = $30.80
27 SniperSB23 $7.00 $13.80 = $29.40
28 Many Others $0.00 $13.80 = $28.40
28 otisotisotis $0.00 $9.20 = $28.40
30 horseofcourse $7.00 $13.80 = $28.30
31 rontheman1964 $0.00 $2.20 = $28.20
32 GBBob $7.00 $2.20 = $23.80
33 ed $21.60 $0.00 = $21.60
33 gamblin4ever $21.60 $0.00 = $21.60
35 wiphan $0.00 $13.80 = $21.40
36 Lava $7.00 $13.80 = $20.80
37 nomad No Pick No Pick = $17.40
38 3kings $0.00 $2.20 = $16.80
39 pointman $0.00 $13.80 = $16.70
39 tiggerv $0.00 $9.20 = $16.70
41 herkhorse $6.00 $9.20 = $15.20
41 jms62 $6.00 $9.20 = $15.20
43 merasmag $0.00 $0.00 = $14.60
44 Duvalier $0.00 $13.80 = $13.80
44 sundaysilenceforever $0.00 $0.00 = $13.80
46 cowgirlintexas $0.00 $2.20 = $13.70
46 declansharbor $0.00 $2.20 = $13.70
48 Cal828 $7.00 $2.20 = $12.10
49 DelKev $0.00 $0.00 = $11.50
49 zippyneedsawin No Pick No Pick = $11.50
51 tiznowthegreat $0.00 $0.00 = $11.40
52 TitanSooner No Pick No Pick = $10.40
53 Pperfectfan $0.00 $0.00 = $7.60
54 abe1947 $7.00 $0.00 = $7.00
55 CannonShell $0.00 $2.20 = $6.80
56 deltagulf No Pick No Pick = $4.60
56 PeteMugg $0.00 $0.00 = $4.60
58 GenuineRisk No Pick No Pick = $2.90
58 trifecta124 No Pick No Pick = $2.90
60 Buffymommy $0.00 $2.20 = $2.20
60 dylbert $0.00 $2.20 = $2.20
60 FlaFemFatale $0.00 $2.20 = $2.20
60 geeker2 $0.00 $2.20 = $2.20
60 Holland Hacker $0.00 $2.20 = $2.20
60 ryonker $0.00 $2.20 = $2.20
66 DaHoss9698 No Pick No Pick = $0.00
66 G $0.00 $0.00 = $0.00
66 Immanuel Kant $0.00 $0.00 = $0.00
66 my miss storm cat No Pick No Pick = $0.00
66 NTamm1215 No Pick No Pick = $0.00
66 Port Conway Lane No Pick No Pick = $0.00
66 Saucon17 No Pick No Pick = $0.00
66 wac $0.00 $0.00 = $0.00
__________________
You have your way. I have my way. As for the right way, the correct way, and the only way, it does not exist.
- Friedrich Nietzsche on Handicapping

Last edited by DerbyCat : 01-13-2008 at 01:12 PM.
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  #3  
Old 01-13-2008, 11:14 AM
Scav Scav is offline
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Bigs picks shouldn't count because they weren't included until 4pm EST.

This is the only way I can beat him since he is the best handicapper EVA

(jk on the 1st line)
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  #4  
Old 01-13-2008, 01:44 PM
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Bigsmc Bigsmc is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
Bigs picks shouldn't count because they weren't included until 4pm EST.

This is the only way I can beat him since he is the best handicapper EVA

(jk on the 1st line)
Never fear, I'll fade like you running for gasoline.
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  #5  
Old 01-13-2008, 08:00 PM
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hi_im_god hi_im_god is offline
Arlington Park
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DerbyCat
Nice prices in the two contest races, winner of the LeComte (Z Fortune) paid $12.00/$5.60/$4.00 and winner of the San Rafael (El Gato Malo) paid $6.80/$4.40/$2.60 giving a $35.40 boost to the three DTers that picked both winners – Bigsmc, Ninetoone and smitty1278. Our current leaders are Bigsmc, Hickory Hill Hoff and Mumtaz. Congrats to the top three (and everyone else, too )!!!

Current Standings and Totals:
# DT Member LeComte San Rafael TOTAL
1 Bigsmc $21.60 $13.80 = $78.40
2 Hickory Hill Hoff $0.00 $13.80 = $60.70
3 Mumtaz $0.00 $13.80 = $53.80
4 Gaines2b $0.00 $0.00 = $50.00
5 cboh11 $0.00 $2.20 = $49.10
6 Oaklawnfan $21.60 $0.00 = $47.60
7 Scav $0.00 $9.20 = $47.50
8 DerbyCat $21.60 $0.00 = $46.40
9 2 Dollar Bill $0.00 $13.80 = $45.60
9 viscount26 $0.00 $13.80 = $45.60
11 mes5107 $0.00 $2.20 = $45.20
12 Mclem10011 $0.00 $0.00 = $44.00
13 golfer $7.00 $9.20 = $43.20
14 hi im god $6.00 $13.80 = $38.20
14 Ninetoone $21.60 $13.80 = $38.20
16 Heels1989 $0.00 $13.80 = $37.00
17 MaTH716 $0.00 $13.80 = $36.70
17 megahertz $0.00 $13.80 = $36.70
19 pgiaco $21.60 $9.20 = $35.40
19 smitty1278 $21.60 $13.80 = $35.40
21 AngelSita $0.00 $9.20 = $35.20
22 Swedejxn $21.60 $0.00 = $33.00
23 Hoist Her Flag $0.00 $13.80 = $32.80
24 pweizer $7.00 $2.20 = $32.40
25 TheSpyder $0.00 $13.80 = $32.20
26 Dunbar $21.60 $9.20 = $30.80
27 SniperSB23 $7.00 $13.80 = $29.40
28 Many Others $0.00 $13.80 = $28.40
28 otisotisotis $0.00 $9.20 = $28.40
30 horseofcourse $7.00 $13.80 = $28.30
31 rontheman1964 $0.00 $2.20 = $28.20
32 GBBob $7.00 $2.20 = $23.80
33 ed $21.60 $0.00 = $21.60
33 gamblin4ever $21.60 $0.00 = $21.60
35 wiphan $0.00 $13.80 = $21.40
36 Lava $7.00 $13.80 = $20.80
37 nomad No Pick No Pick = $17.40
38 3kings $0.00 $2.20 = $16.80
39 pointman $0.00 $13.80 = $16.70
39 tiggerv $0.00 $9.20 = $16.70
41 herkhorse $6.00 $9.20 = $15.20
41 jms62 $6.00 $9.20 = $15.20
43 merasmag $0.00 $0.00 = $14.60
44 Duvalier $0.00 $13.80 = $13.80
44 sundaysilenceforever $0.00 $0.00 = $13.80
46 cowgirlintexas $0.00 $2.20 = $13.70
46 declansharbor $0.00 $2.20 = $13.70
48 Cal828 $7.00 $2.20 = $12.10
49 DelKev $0.00 $0.00 = $11.50
49 zippyneedsawin No Pick No Pick = $11.50
51 tiznowthegreat $0.00 $0.00 = $11.40
52 TitanSooner No Pick No Pick = $10.40
53 Pperfectfan $0.00 $0.00 = $7.60
54 abe1947 $7.00 $0.00 = $7.00
55 CannonShell $0.00 $2.20 = $6.80
56 deltagulf No Pick No Pick = $4.60
56 PeteMugg $0.00 $0.00 = $4.60
58 GenuineRisk No Pick No Pick = $2.90
58 trifecta124 No Pick No Pick = $2.90
60 Buffymommy $0.00 $2.20 = $2.20
60 dylbert $0.00 $2.20 = $2.20
60 FlaFemFatale $0.00 $2.20 = $2.20
60 geeker2 $0.00 $2.20 = $2.20
60 Holland Hacker $0.00 $2.20 = $2.20
60 ryonker $0.00 $2.20 = $2.20
66 DaHoss9698 No Pick No Pick = $0.00
66 G $0.00 $0.00 = $0.00
66 Immanuel Kant $0.00 $0.00 = $0.00
66 my miss storm cat No Pick No Pick = $0.00
66 NTamm1215 No Pick No Pick = $0.00
66 Port Conway Lane No Pick No Pick = $0.00
66 Saucon17 No Pick No Pick = $0.00
66 wac $0.00 $0.00 = $0.00
26 players above water. given the results and his analysis i think this is now "the dunbar line".
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  #6  
Old 01-15-2008, 09:23 AM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hi_im_god
26 players above water. given the results and his analysis i think this is now "the dunbar line".
I think I'll pocket my $0.80 profit. I'm pretty risk averse.

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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  #7  
Old 01-16-2008, 02:39 PM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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DTers did a pretty good job in Contest Week #2. The rate of loss was 8.1%, about half the track take. That was good enough to bring us back to where we are now losing at around the track take overall.

This week there were 62 cappers, so the amount bet was $744. The winning tickets added to $684. (684-744)/744 = -8.1%

Here are the overall results through the first 5 races of the contest:
# of picks: 318
Amount bet: $1908
Amount won: $1620.50
% return: (1620.50-1908)/1908 = -15.1%

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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  #8  
Old 01-16-2008, 10:25 PM
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DerbyCat DerbyCat is offline
Churchill Downs
 
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And I thought I had too much time on my hands every time I tally the scores, enter them in to the spreadsheet and then post the results... good to see I'm not the only one who spends too much time on this contest!

Seriously, nice stats Dunbar
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You have your way. I have my way. As for the right way, the correct way, and the only way, it does not exist.
- Friedrich Nietzsche on Handicapping
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  #9  
Old 01-17-2008, 08:46 AM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DerbyCat
And I thought I had too much time on my hands every time I tally the scores, enter them in to the spreadsheet and then post the results... good to see I'm not the only one who spends too much time on this contest!

Seriously, nice stats Dunbar
Ha! It's actually more a case of displacing what I'm supposed to be working on. When I have a lot of things to do, it's way more fun to do something I don't have to do--such as obsess over the contest stats!

Thanks again for running such a good contest, DC.

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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