DT Contest - Week 1

[GenuineRisk]

Argh; I forgot! If it's not too late:


Hutcheson: Big Truck, alt. Grand Mistrial

Count Fleet: Roman Emporer, alt. Barrier Reef

[hi_im_god]

hutcheson:

silver edition
alt: coal play

count fleet:

red reef
alt: giant moon

[pmacdaddy]

To get Pointman on record as he is out of town w/o web access.

Pat, can you do me a favor?* I can't get on DT.* Can you post my selections for me?*

In the Hutchenson I like Cool*Coal Manm alternate Golden Spikes*and

in the Count Fleet I am going with Roman Emporer and alternate is*Run With Me.* Thanks*

[trifecta124]

Originally Posted by pmacdaddy

To get Pointman on record as he is out of town w/o web access.

Pat, can you do me a favor?* I can't get on DT.* Can you post my selections for me?*

In the Hutchenson I like Cool*Coal Manm alternate Golden Spikes*and

in the Count Fleet I am going with Roman Emporer and alternate is*Run With Me.* Thanks*

Are you playing today Pmac?

[GBBob]

Originally Posted by Scav

Smooth Air
Alt: Favorite

Roman Emperor
Alt: Favorite

Nice hit Scavs

very nice

[golfer]

Originally Posted by GBBob

Nice hit Scavs

very nice

It was a good decision to get off the Big Truck

[Scav]

Originally Posted by GBBob

Nice hit Scavs

very nice

Looks like multiple people nailed it, I thought I might have separated to start after I checked the result on my phone.

Wish I had real money on it

ty

[GBBob]

Originally Posted by Scav

Looks like multiple people nailed it, I thought I might have separated to start after I checked the result on my phone.

Wish I had real money on it

ty

I know..should have said "nice job" to many more

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

Titan of Industry

alt: Why Tonto

Originally Posted by Dunbar

Count Fleet: Barrier Reef (Alt: Giant Moon)

Hutch: Golden Spikes (Alt: Smooth Air)

Note to self: Bet Dunbar's "Alt" picks!


--Dunbar

[DerbyCat]

Nice picks yesterday by Gaines2b (he picked both winners) and Dunbar (he had both winners as his alternate picks). Our leaders after three races are Gaines2b, cboh11 and Hickory Hill Hoff. There are currently 70 members in the contest and the key to winning this is to make pick each week, but if you miss a week or two that’s ok, one long shot winner can catch you up.

Standings after three races:
# DT Member Count Fleet Hutchenson TOTAL
1 Gaines2b $14.60 $35.40 = $50.00
2 cboh11 $2.90 $35.40 = $46.90
2 Hickory Hill Hoff $2.90 $35.40 = $46.90
4 Mclem10011 $0.00 $35.40 = $44.00
5 Bigsmc $7.60 $35.40 = $43.00
5 mes5107 $7.60 $35.40 = $43.00
7 Mumtaz $0.00 $35.40 = $40.00
8 Scav $2.90 $35.40 = $38.30
9 2 Dollar Bill $14.60 $0.00 = $31.80
9 viscount26 $14.60 $0.00 = $31.80
11 golfer $0.00 $18.40 = $27.00
12 Oaklawnfan $14.60 $2.80 = $26.00
12 rontheman1964 $14.60 $2.80 = $26.00
14 DerbyCat $7.60 $0.00 = $24.80
15 Heels1989 $14.60 $0.00 = $23.20
15 pweizer $14.60 $0.00 = $23.20
17 MaTH716 $2.90 $2.80 = $22.90
17 megahertz $2.90 $2.80 = $22.90
19 otisotisotis $14.60 $0.00 = $19.20
20 Hoist Her Flag $7.60 $2.80 = $19.00
21 hi im god $0.00 $18.40 = $18.40
21 TheSpyder $0.00 $18.40 = $18.40
23 nomad $14.60 $2.80 = $17.40
24 3kings $14.60 $0.00 = $14.60
24 GBBob $14.60 $0.00 = $14.60
24 Many Others $14.60 $0.00 = $14.60
24 merasmag $14.60 $0.00 = $14.60
28 cowgirlintexas $2.90 $0.00 = $11.50
28 declansharbor $2.90 $0.00 = $11.50
28 DelKev $2.90 $0.00 = $11.50
28 zippyneedsawin $2.90 $0.00 = $11.50
32 Swedejxn $0.00 $2.80 = $11.40
32 tiznowthegreat $0.00 $2.80 = $11.40
34 TitanSooner $7.60 $2.80 = $10.40
35 AngelSita No Pick No Pick = $8.60
35 SniperSB23 No Pick No Pick = $8.60
37 Pperfectfan $7.60 $0.00 = $7.60
37 wiphan $7.60 $0.00 = $7.60
39 horseofcourse $2.90 $0.00 = $7.50
39 tiggerv $2.90 $0.00 = $7.50
41 CannonShell $0.00 $0.00 = $4.60
41 deltagulf No Pick No Pick = $4.60
41 PeteMugg $0.00 $0.00 = $4.60
41 pgiaco $0.00 $0.00 = $4.60
45 Cal828 $2.90 $0.00 = $2.90
45 GenuineRisk $2.90 $0.00 = $2.90
45 pointman $2.90 $0.00 = $2.90
45 trifecta124 $2.90 $0.00 = $2.90
49 Ninetoone $0.00 $2.80 = $2.80
50 abe1947 No Pick No Pick = $0.00
50 DaHoss9698 $0.00 $0.00 = $0.00
50 Dunbar $0.00 $0.00 = $0.00
50 Duvalier $0.00 $0.00 = $0.00
50 dylbert No Pick No Pick = $0.00
50 ed $0.00 $0.00 = $0.00
50 FlaFemFatale $0.00 $0.00 = $0.00
50 gamblin4ever $0.00 $0.00 = $0.00
50 geeker2 No Pick No Pick = $0.00
50 herkhorse $0.00 $0.00 = $0.00
50 Immanuel Kant $0.00 $0.00 = $0.00
50 jms62 $0.00 $0.00 = $0.00
50 Lava $0.00 $0.00 = $0.00
50 my miss storm cat $0.00 $0.00 = $0.00
50 NTamm1215 No Pick No Pick = $0.00
50 Port Conway Lane $0.00 $0.00 = $0.00
50 ryonker $0.00 $0.00 = $0.00
50 Saucon17 No Pick No Pick = $0.00
50 smitty1278 $0.00 $0.00 = $0.00
50 sundaysilenceforever $0.00 $0.00 = $0.00
50 wac No Pick No Pick = $0.00

As always, if you see an error on my part, please feel free to let me know - I am far from perfect!

[Dunbar]

Some nice scores, but as a whole, we are doing worse than the track take. I get that there have been 192 picks in the contest for a total of $6 * 192 = $1152 in bets. We've (and in my case I use "we've" very loosely) collected a total of $921.90, which is a 20% rate of loss.

--Dunbar

[rontheman1964]

Dunbar, depends on how you look at the numbers. Of 70 entrants 22 of them are above the $18.00 break even point. That is over 31% of the crowd that is making money at the track. Not sure where you play but I bet 31% of the crowd doesn't make money.

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by rontheman1964

Dunbar, depends on how you look at the numbers. Of 70 entrants 22 of them are above the $18.00 break even point. That is over 31% of the crowd that is making money at the track. Not sure where you play but I bet 31% of the crowd doesn't make money.

Well, it's way too early to draw any conclusions. I only posted the 20% fig because I thought it was mildly interesting. I'll keep tabs on that stat as the contest progresses.

Your way of looking at it is interesting, especially if a sizable number are still ahead at the end of the Contest. But if the Group above breakeven is truly more than what would happen at a typical track, the group BELOW breakeven must be doing far worse than your typical track bettors. Otherwise the combined fig (-20%) wouldn't be so bad.

Again, at this point it's too soon to get excited one way or another.

--Dunbar

[PPerfectfan]

All I know is I am glad I am not last!!!!!

[hi_im_god]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

Well, it's way too early to draw any conclusions. I only posted the 20% fig because I thought it was mildly interesting. I'll keep tabs on that stat as the contest progresses.

Your way of looking at it is interesting, especially if a sizable number are still ahead at the end of the Contest. But if the Group above breakeven is truly more than what would happen at a typical track, the group BELOW breakeven must be doing far worse than your typical track bettors. Otherwise the combined fig (-20%) wouldn't be so bad.

Again, at this point it's too soon to get excited one way or another.

--Dunbar

did you take into account all the "no bets"?

and the fact that'd i'd never, ever bet across the board in real life.

if i had made 3 actual bets, my return would be -$6.00, not +$0.40.

[AngelSita]

Originally Posted by AngelSita

Hutcheson - Coal Play (Alt. Halo Najib)
Count Fleet - Giant Moon (Alt. Roman Emperor)

Derbycat -

You missed my picks.

[Scav]

As long as I beat Bigs, I am a happy person

[Bigsmc]

Originally Posted by Scav

As long as I beat Bigs, I am a happy person

GFY

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by hi_im_god

did you take into account all the "no bets"?

and the fact that'd i'd never, ever bet across the board in real life.

if i had made 3 actual bets, my return would be -$6.00, not +$0.40.

Yes, I counted the "no bets" correctly.

AngelSita's picks would change the DT return from -20.0% to -19.5%. (194 picks; $936.50 in winning tickets on bets of $1164.

--Dunbar

[DerbyCat]

Originally Posted by AngelSita

Derbycat -

You missed my picks.

I apologize for that, I'll update the spreadsheet tonight when I get home