1/5: (AQU) Count Fleet

ArlJim78 · #1 01-05-2008, 01:12 PM

nice competitive race that I could see going several ways. Roman Emperor and Run With Me look interesting. just going to watch it.

blackthroatedwind · #2 01-05-2008, 01:15 PM

If there was an odds line on which horse in this race will win a Grade 1 somewhere down the road then Barrier Reef would be 1:9. He may not win today, and he obviously may not prove a terrific horse, but there is also a very good chance he goes on to be an excellent racehorse. Anybody that hasn't seen his last race owes it to themselves to watch it.

Personally, I think he will be hard to beat today.

PSH · #3 01-05-2008, 01:23 PM

Thanks for the heads up Andy. Came from the clouds and never thought he was going to get to the winner until he hits another gear and blows by him. Garcia on him today is worrisome but if there is enough pace and the track is playing fairly it would be hard not to like this Mizzen Mast colt.

PSH

blackthroatedwind · #4 01-05-2008, 01:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PSH

Thanks for the heads up Andy. Came from the clouds and never thought he was going to get to the winner until he hits another gear and blows by him. Garcia on him today is worrisome but if there is enough pace and the track is playing fairly it would be hard not to like this Mizzen Mast colt.

PSH

Yeah, it seems fair so far, but two turn races can be tricky.

He was green as could be and got himself in a ton of trouble, and still made the huge run. He could have a big future. I bet he ends up in Florida after today. Anywhere but Dubai.

the_fat_man · #5 01-05-2008, 01:39 PM

Would love to see a match race between BR and Numaany. We could import Espinoza from Cali for a ride and put Garcia on the other one. We turn them lose in the stretch (by default we know the 2 idiots will be whipping away from both sides) and wait for the chaos.

miraja2 · #6 01-05-2008, 02:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

If there was an odds line on which horse in this race will win a Grade 1 somewhere down the road then Barrier Reef would be 1:9. He may not win today, and he obviously may not prove a terrific horse, but there is also a very good chance he goes on to be an excellent racehorse. Anybody that hasn't seen his last race owes it to themselves to watch it.

Personally, I think he will be hard to beat today.

I don't see it.
I don't think there will be enough pace for him to get it done today, and while his last race was certainly a nice one, I am more impressed with both of Roman Emperor's last two starts.
The fact that Barrier Reef has demonstrated absolutely nothing in the mornings since his last start (or ever, for that matter) doesn't seem to indicate that he has progressed much since then. Despite his impressive off-the-pace score last time, I don't think the extra distance of today's race (although relatively minor) helps him at all.
I am thinking of playing Roman Emperor to win, and boxing him in an exacta with Giant Moon.

KY_Sasquash · #7 01-05-2008, 02:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

If there was an odds line on which horse in this race will win a Grade 1 somewhere down the road then Barrier Reef would be 1:9. He may not win today, and he obviously may not prove a terrific horse, but there is also a very good chance he goes on to be an excellent racehorse. Anybody that hasn't seen his last race owes it to themselves to watch it.

Personally, I think he will be hard to beat today.

Totally agree. That last race was amazing to me. never seen anything like it before. I, too, hope that he ends up in Florida, but we all are aware that there's a good chance he'll be heading to Dubai if he runs well today

trifecta124 · #8 01-05-2008, 02:45 PM

I am going to single Roman Emperor in a late Pick 3. I think the speed between Spanky & Giant Moon will open the door for RE to close well.

Here is my small late Pick 3 ticket:

7th: 3,6,7,8
8th: 6
9th: 1,2,3,4,5

$20 on a buck

trifecta124 · #9 01-05-2008, 03:20 PM

Ouch.....I hope I don't regret not including the 11 horse in the 9th race. He snuck in off of the AE list. The AE's always seem to do very well.

miraja2 · #10 01-05-2008, 03:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KY_Sasquash

Totally agree. That last race was amazing to me. never seen anything like it before.

I remember him blowing the turn and making a nice rally to win it in the stretch, but I guess I was less impressed than you and blackthroatedwind. It was a very nice race, but he is taking a very big step up in class here. He could certainly win it, but others seem more likely to me.

Pedigree Ann · #11 01-05-2008, 03:40 PM

Swami angle. Red Reef, Barrier Reef. One of related names will win it 91.8% of the time. <said dryly, tongue firmly in cheek>

Kasept · #12 01-05-2008, 03:59 PM

Interesting... The open company foes cannot dent the NYB exacta from the Runyon. And Spunky Spanky STILL not out of an exacta in his career.

Track carry both home? Or Emperor/Barrier simply with no excuse for not getting to the leaders in the stretch?

Mike · #13 01-05-2008, 04:03 PM

I'm trying to decide how this race reflects on Big Truck at GP in a few

ArlJim78 · #14 01-05-2008, 04:09 PM

I think the two NY breds had the right runstyle for the circuit, were battle tested, and are just better than the others at this point. most expected one of the others to step it up a bit but they're not ready yet, or are not good enough.