late/early money...

[Scav]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

One thing to look for in NY are the sometimes crazy low exacta prices you will see sometimes, a couple times a day usually, in the early betting. This is specifically because of one bettor, a sheet player I believe, who makes $5K or more boxes right at the beginning of betting.

Steve Byk?

[infield_line]

I have missed scores because I ignored it, but also hit nice prices because I acted on significant drops in odds followed by a float back to close to M/L. I think this is more significant on horses where the PP's don't give you anything to be excited about. Why else is someone dumping sizeable bets on a horse that does not look like a rational contender without some insight that's not apparent in the numbers?

Of course anything can happen, but at some of the small/mid-sized tracks I think there's something to watching the tote. First flash, who knows but as the race approaches, sharp drops then floating back deserves notice IMHO

I/L