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Old 12-12-2007, 08:35 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 7,440
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
First of all, you really don't understand speed figures, and to be surprised that similar times earned on different racing days received different figures only magnifies this. Your baseless claims about the 111 have been thoroughly debunked.
Finally, common ground

I understand what they purport to represent, based on some subjective formula. I understand that a number of factors go into the formula each day based of various conditions and that a because 1:09.2 earned a 102 on one day may not necessarily mean that it's impossible for a 1:09.3 to earn a 111 the next. No surprise here. Got it.
I use them loosely as a minor confirmation of an opinion and perhaps a plausable snapshot of current form. Nothing more. I certainly would put no more credence in them than any other form of technical analysis available, and don't ever base my wagering dollar solely on them.

So as far as my "claim" being baseless and thoroughly debunked - Once again I never "claimed" anything, only offered an opinion - an opinion, as far as I'm concerned, that is as subjective as the science they are based on.


Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
However, the latter part of your post is really outlandish. Once again, we were talking about Gary Contessa because of what took place in today's 9th race. " Throw axes at Contessa?????" You have to be kidding! I stated facts about his horses. If you don't like that these facts make him look bad then that's not my problem and I suggest you ask yourself why you feel a need to defend him if you don't think the situation is at all curious.
I'm not defending Gary Contessa, have no need to defend him, and honestly couldn't care less. What I'm getting from you is that you don't care for him as a trainer because you feel his inconsistancies, particularly first off the claim, makes your life more difficult as a player - thus suggesting improprities...I just won't jump off that cliff with you, Andy..Lastly, I didn't see the last race today and only responed to your allegations about Missile Motor tomorrow. I think the number is high, you don't. C'est la vie.
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Old 12-12-2007, 09:40 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

So as far as my "claim" being baseless and thoroughly debunked - Once again I never "claimed" anything, only offered an opinion - an opinion, as far as I'm concerned, that is as subjective as the science they are based on.




I'm not defending Gary Contessa, have no need to defend him, and honestly couldn't care less. What I'm getting from you is that you don't care for him as a trainer because you feel his inconsistancies, particularly first off the claim, makes your life more difficult as a player - thus suggesting improprities...I just won't jump off that cliff with you, Andy..Lastly, I didn't see the last race today and only responed to your allegations about Missile Motor tomorrow. I think the number is high, you don't. C'est la vie.
I debunked your baseless claim that the number was high by going horse by horse through the field and showing that each and every one of them ran a number consistent with their history of numbers. It is absolutely impossible for those seven horses to have run consistent numbers ( the only ones, in fact, seemingly out of line were actually lower than could have been expected ) and the winner to have run too high. His figure holds up....period. Your assertion was based on nothing other than you saying it. And, you said it from weakness.

I never said " I didn't care for him as a trainer " nor did I say the performances of his horses, whether off the claim or not, make things difficult for me as a bettor. I never said any of this. What I did was point out that his horses run inexplicably and outrageously well from time to time and seemingly at random. How this affects me, whether good or bad, is entirely besides the point. You are, and I don't know why, somehow trying to deflect the discussion towards me. I have nothing to do with it.
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