Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 12-09-2007, 11:30 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,298
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
True, considering the trip he got last time he might actually be slower. Regardless, he's the fourth likeliest winner in a field of five.
How did Evening Attire stack up under a similar scenario yesterday?
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 12-09-2007, 11:35 AM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,938
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
How did Evening Attire stack up under a similar scenario yesterday?

I think Barcola is the biggest piece of garbage on the planet.....and you know that. The horse on the rail had no shot whatsoever. I don't bet horses like Hunting who are favorites after winning with perfect trips at 9-1 and I realized that my original choice, Marital Asset, was the moron pick of the day when I saw everyone liked him. Now, did that mean I would bet Evening Attire? No, but I didn't bet the race but he was certainly one of three horses that could win. How was he even remotely comparable to the slow horse you have put on top in today's feature?
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 12-09-2007, 11:42 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,298
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I think Barcola is the biggest piece of garbage on the planet.....and you know that. The horse on the rail had no shot whatsoever. I don't bet horses like Hunting who are favorites after winning with perfect trips at 9-1 and I realized that my original choice, Marital Asset, was the moron pick of the day when I saw everyone liked him. Now, did that mean I would bet Evening Attire? No, but I didn't bet the race but he was certainly one of three horses that could win. How was he even remotely comparable to the slow horse you have put on top in today's feature?
Alexandros is suggested as a 'value' horse in this race.. I'm suggesting he will outrun his odds...

And you know, I enjoy it much more when you call and ridicule me live...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 12-09-2007, 11:48 AM
Payson Dave's Avatar
Payson Dave Payson Dave is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 2,647
Default

God... I love the entertaiment value that is offered here..
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 12-09-2007, 11:49 AM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,938
Default

And I doubt he will be value....or is even worth mentioning.

Value means his odds are higher than his actual chances of winning. What price do you think he will be and what do you think are his actual chances of winning?

Look, I understand wanting to make him, especially before the scratches. However, considering the Dutrow horse will get a similar set-up, and is dramatically faster ( no to mention he was against the grain last time ), it is hard to like Alexandros. The problem with him is that he has run reasonably similar races in every start and none are even remotely close to the top three contenders. Now, he may be more likely to want distance and two turns than those three, but it is hard to believe that is enough to close the gap on all three.

Now, if I really want to be technical, I would point out that this is a Pick-6 analysis thread. Pick-6s are about finding the way to spend your money in the best manner to survive each race. It is not the place to be overly concerned with " value " selections.....if particularly concerned at all.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 12-09-2007, 12:33 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,938
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cardus
Worse than Cowtown Cat?
Even Cowtown Cat would have accepted the gift wrapped present the pathetic Barcola refused yesterday.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 12-09-2007, 12:36 PM
pmacdaddy's Avatar
pmacdaddy pmacdaddy is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Long Island, NY
Posts: 2,867
Default

Great stuff here.

Just made some popcorn. Gonna watch the pick6 unfold...
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 12-09-2007, 12:37 PM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,891
Default

Does anyone else think they shouldv'e taken down La Porta ?
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 12-09-2007, 12:45 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,938
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62
Does anyone else think they shouldv'e taken down La Porta ?

I hope not.

That race was yet another example of how hilariously bad Alan Garcia rides.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 12-09-2007, 12:52 PM
pmacdaddy's Avatar
pmacdaddy pmacdaddy is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Long Island, NY
Posts: 2,867
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I hope not.

That race was yet another example of how hilariously bad Alan Garcia rides.
Every time he costs me $$, I find myself disliking him a little more...

He is rapidly approaching Fernando Jara territory for me.

Why does McGlaughlin like these guys so much?
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 11:09 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.