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  #1  
Old 11-04-2007, 12:02 PM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
it was really special that he won the Gold Cup again this year even though it was switched to polytrack.


The Pacific Classic effectively ended his 2007 campaign. They tried to make the horse run 10 furlongs on an extreme surface. Took a lot out of him and for the first time in quite a while in Cali he was asked to do something beyond his scope.

Lava Man runs near the pace and then strikes the front on the turn. No one wins that way on synthetic-turf. Even in the best form of his life he wouldn't win consistently on these surfaces. On the fast-cushion track at Santa Anita you get 3 or 4 sprinters up on a hot pace for the heart of the race , and then 5 or 6 turf horses all make a run in the stretch. On the Del Mar surface the stretch seems to slant up-hill as 10 furlong dirt horses struggle and strain to climb a mountain of pedigree and stamina. This is "extreme" racing. Only horseracing would run "Xtreme racing" and not profit from it on a cheesy espn show...


Since he can't ship away from the synthetic-turf his only hope now is to look for soft spots on the real turf. Obviously he shouldn't be placed in 1 mile races against classy horses. 9 and 10 furlongs vs. moderate california competition is his remaining option. Races where he can be a controlling speed and his style will actually benefit. The best move would be patience (skipping the tempting Sun Million Turf).
The Gold Cup was not on polytrack, it was cushion track.

Your description of the racing at SA (no one winning from near the pace, sprinters getting overtaken by turf horses) is not accurate at all. just look at yesterdays route races.
Runforthemoneybaby, no turf experience and came from two lengths behind
RomanceisDiane, no turf experience and wins wire to wire.
Sierra Sunset, no turf experience and raced within a length of the pace.
Bold Chieftain, some turf background, came from 3 lengths back.

I don't think Lava Mans issues have a lot to do with the synthetics, just look at his turf race in the Oak Tree mile, that was also a subpar effort, at least as bad as his Pac Classic, maybe worse. With the form he had last year and early this year he would have crushed the field yesterday, even on cushion track.
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  #2  
Old 11-04-2007, 12:19 PM
hemaih hemaih is offline
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As the greatest claim in racing history Lava Man should continue to run until he earns more then Tiznow. Currently Lava Man is about 1 million dollars away from being the leading California earner of all time. He has been great for the sport and has no reason to retire in my opinion.
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  #3  
Old 11-04-2007, 12:37 PM
Port Conway Lane Port Conway Lane is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hemaih
As the greatest claim in racing history Lava Man should continue to run until he earns more then Tiznow. Currently Lava Man is about 1 million dollars away from being the leading California earner of all time. He has been great for the sport and has no reason to retire in my opinion.
Make that the second greatest claim. Princequillo remains as the greatest.
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  #4  
Old 11-05-2007, 10:12 AM
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Pedigree Ann Pedigree Ann is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Port Conway Lane
Make that the second greatest claim. Princequillo remains as the greatest.
Better than Stymie? He was claimed for $1500 and became the leading money-earner of all time US, just under $1 million, and it took Citation to best him in that category.
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  #5  
Old 02-04-2008, 04:42 PM
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my miss storm cat my miss storm cat is offline
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http://www.ctba.com/08magazine/feb/IndustryInsight.pdf
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  #6  
Old 02-04-2008, 05:02 PM
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gamblin4ever gamblin4ever is offline
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Thanks for posting that mmsc. Hope he comes back as good as ever.
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  #7  
Old 02-04-2008, 05:04 PM
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my miss storm cat my miss storm cat is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gamblin4ever
Thanks for posting that mmsc. Hope he comes back as good as ever.
Hope so too.
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  #8  
Old 11-04-2007, 12:45 PM
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Bobby Fischer Bobby Fischer is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ArlJim78
The Gold Cup was not on polytrack, it was cushion track.

Your description of the racing at SA (no one winning from near the pace, sprinters getting overtaken by turf horses) is not accurate at all. just look at yesterdays route races.
Runforthemoneybaby, no turf experience and came from two lengths behind
RomanceisDiane, no turf experience and wins wire to wire.
Sierra Sunset, no turf experience and raced within a length of the pace.
Bold Chieftain, some turf background, came from 3 lengths back.

I don't think Lava Mans issues have a lot to do with the synthetics, just look at his turf race in the Oak Tree mile, that was also a subpar effort, at least as bad as his Pac Classic, maybe worse. With the form he had last year and early this year he would have crushed the field yesterday, even on cushion track.

thanks I have to proof read lest I will write in a verbal style and call everything "polytrack" as if I was calling a brand of "puffs" tissue a kleenex...

I am familiar with all the major tracks who use synthetic and each of their specific nuances, other than PID(except to note the inflation@PID)


they are all synthetic-turf, that have replaced a main dirt track , and they all have their specific characteristics.

for example a 6furlong wire-to-wire horse at Keeneland can do the same in Arlington , but not necessarily vice versa.

A horse can save ground and win in Hollywood , but in Woodbine he will eat dust(actually clog his trachea with dust).

etc.....

as far as debating that I don't know what I am talking about with Lava Man's specific running style and how well the different synthetic tracks suit it -
- It's up to you to figure that out. I am not going to sit here and convince you that a route on polytrack is averse to Lava Mans style or how a .10 superfecta changes the dynamics of the market. Either you see it one way or another. Either you think one thing or another. It doesn't make me a penny or give me any satisfaction , and 99% of the time it falls on deaf ears. Come to you own conclusions, and it seems like you have an opinion , and I don't wish to challenge your opinion.

If you want to change it into a debate over generalities like "no one wins near the pace" or "turf horses overtake sprinters" it isn't something I am interested in. I am not really interested in any debate period.

The game interests me, I put my time in and I answer my own questions. The internet is a great place where people who love the game, or the sport, or the animals can share their opinions.


back on topic - my opionion is that I feel Lava Man is proven to be resiliant, I think he belongs in moderate class turf routes only. A lot of money for that in California, as Graded races or big purses are at times "moderate-quality". Give him 2-3 months and a nuclear scan and bring him back in 2008.
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  #9  
Old 11-04-2007, 01:51 PM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
thanks I have to proof read lest I will write in a verbal style and call everything "polytrack" as if I was calling a brand of "puffs" tissue a kleenex...

I am familiar with all the major tracks who use synthetic and each of their specific nuances, other than PID(except to note the inflation@PID)


they are all synthetic-turf, that have replaced a main dirt track , and they all have their specific characteristics.

for example a 6furlong wire-to-wire horse at Keeneland can do the same in Arlington , but not necessarily vice versa.

A horse can save ground and win in Hollywood , but in Woodbine he will eat dust(actually clog his trachea with dust).

etc.....

as far as debating that I don't know what I am talking about with Lava Man's specific running style and how well the different synthetic tracks suit it -
- It's up to you to figure that out. I am not going to sit here and convince you that a route on polytrack is averse to Lava Mans style or how a .10 superfecta changes the dynamics of the market. Either you see it one way or another. Either you think one thing or another. It doesn't make me a penny or give me any satisfaction , and 99% of the time it falls on deaf ears. Come to you own conclusions, and it seems like you have an opinion , and I don't wish to challenge your opinion.

If you want to change it into a debate over generalities like "no one wins near the pace" or "turf horses overtake sprinters" it isn't something I am interested in. I am not really interested in any debate period.

The game interests me, I put my time in and I answer my own questions. The internet is a great place where people who love the game, or the sport, or the animals can share their opinions.


back on topic - my opionion is that I feel Lava Man is proven to be resiliant, I think he belongs in moderate class turf routes only. A lot of money for that in California, as Graded races or big purses are at times "moderate-quality". Give him 2-3 months and a nuclear scan and bring him back in 2008.
okay then, wasn't really looking to debate either, just sharing my opinion. I'll never question anything you post again.

Just one thing though, why do you call the surfaces synthetic-turf? I have never heard this term used for anything other than something like artificial grass. not looking to debate but it would seem that these surfaces are synthetic dirt, not turf.
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  #10  
Old 11-04-2007, 04:31 PM
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Bobby Fischer Bobby Fischer is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ArlJim78
Just one thing though, why do you call the surfaces synthetic-turf? I have never heard this term used for anything other than something like artificial grass. not looking to debate but it would seem that these surfaces are synthetic dirt, not turf.
If the super market starts selling "Orange flavored drink" in a milk carton in your local dairy section,
Is it synthetic-milk or synthetic-orangeJuice ??

There is no right answer, but the PC answer is "as long as it reduces your lactose intolerance I am all for it".
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