|
|
 |
|
|
|
#1
10-23-2007, 09:16 PM
|
|||
|
|||
I can't wait to go back to this thread afterwards, I have some ideas but will come back to it probably tomorrow..Good luck phil
I do this in Byk terms, with it being the whole day Best Value of the day: Smarty Deb - 30/1 Most Likely Winner: Benny the Bull - 6/1; La Traviata 5/2 Exotics Use: Purim - 20/1 Exotics Use: Shamindan - 20/1 Exotics Use: Old Man Buck - 20/1 In the Juv Fillies, I think Smarty Deb has a heck of a shot to hit the board at her 30/1 ML. People have no idea who these connections are so she will be ignored, she has been at Monmouth for a month and has two works over the track, Monmouth plays like Emerald Downs, a very bouncy type surface. Her Thorograph sheet is very strong, pairing her last two races which should mean a move forward. She is bred to like the distance also which is a question mark for alot of others. I do no like Indian Blessing or Irish Smoke at all, both debuted real fast and have little room for improvement. I think Proud Spell could be tough but Smarty Deb doesn't have to improve 'that' much to contend at a huge number. In the Turf, I think Shamindan has a shot to upset Dylan Thomas at 20/1. He is lightly raced, getting 5lbs, and he cycled back to his top in his last race. Another pattern that singles a move forward and he doesn't have to improve that much to contend with Dylan Thomas, because of the weight and the probablity of him saving ground. My two best bet against's of the day are Indian Blessing and Unbridled Belle, both have real ouchy patterns and shouldn't hit the board or any part of the any possible supers. I also am tossing Midnight Lute as he has Sinister Minister written all over him, but won't consider him a bet against because many are already doing it, from what I have heard from some of my friends and other boards. Last edited by Scav : 10-24-2007 at 10:56 AM. 
|
|
#2
10-23-2007, 09:23 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
|
|
#5
10-23-2007, 10:38 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
I like Maryfield in the FM Sprint as well. Lahudood likes FIRM grass and I am worried about her only having one recorded work since the Flower Bowl.
__________________
RIP Monroe.
|
|
#6
10-23-2007, 10:44 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
thoughts on Oprah Winney?
__________________
We've Gone Delirious
|
|
#7
10-23-2007, 11:00 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
I hate that show...
Oh, the filly, well never mind... I think that Dream Rush, La Traviata and Shaggy Monstress get in a meltdown pace battle and Maryfield benefits. Of Oprah chooses to rate (as she has proven she can) she could be in a similar position to Mary. As for the pace duel, Shaggy goes first, the La Trav. DR could hang on for a piece.
__________________
RIP Monroe.
|
|
#9
10-23-2007, 10:32 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
I'm going with Lahudood on this one. K mac's high on this one. She'll be ready to pounce on the speed at a very square price. Loved her last out, (damn me for not betting her), and if she duplicates an effort like that, we cash heavy. We will be keying her in all three tri spots.
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
|
|
#10
10-24-2007, 09:51 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
|
|
#12
10-24-2007, 10:34 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
|
Hybrid Mode
