On a serious note

[packerbacker7964]

Bet what you want too. I hate when people bet value. How many value horses did you have win during this time? I bet what I think will win. Also you sound like you bet every race for the action. If your pick doesn't look the part skip the damn race. If the horse you like isn't paying the right odds play him in a pick 3 or daily double. It's all about who looks the best every race but who looks good in the 3 or 4 races you'd like to play that day. Remember in black jack you must play alittle each hand to get to the end, in the horses you get to see what your up against before the gates even open. Don't play unless you like something and don't try and pick a winner every race.

[hi_im_god]

a guy walk's into a bar and ask's "does anyone know where i can find an aa meeting?"
































there is no punchline.

[justindew]

Wow.

Not the response I expected, but alright.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by justindew

Wow.

Not the response I expected, but alright.

You're improving.....only one " I ".

It was, however, a short post.

[justindew]

Stay hot, Andy.

[blackthroatedwind]

To be fair....

I think the whole idea, and you seem to be agreeing with this, that any of us can truly know the actual percent chance of any horse winning is folly. I realize some are better than others at this, and surely this will have a real impact on your results, but since for the most part the board is very accurate, the game becomes more about putting together successful wagers than actually believing you understand succinctly what is " value "....a dubious concept.

I can't answer your " dilemma " except to say that you have to decide if the 9:5 is a better bet than the 4-1 or 8-1. Perhaps the answer is to make multi-race bets and use them both. If you think they have similar chances of winning, or at least their chances are closer than the odds reflect, then over time you will benefit.

[justindew]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

To be fair....

I think the whole idea, and you seem to be agreeing with this, that any of us can truly know the actual percent chance of any horse winning is folly. I realize some are better than others at this, and surely this will have a real impact on your results, but since for the most part the board is very accurate, the game becomes more about putting together successful wagers than actually believing you understand succinctly what is " value "....a dubious concept.

I can't answer your " dilemma " except to say that you have to decide if the 9:5 is a better bet than the 4-1 or 8-1. Perhaps the answer is to make multi-race bets and use them both. If you think they have similar chances of winning, or at least their chances are closer than the odds reflect, then over time you will benefit.

Was that so f'ing hard?