Saturday's Results

[philcski]

Originally Posted by SentToStud

Well, cmorioles proclaims a day later he was obviously the worst horse going in. You agree? No big deal and congrats if you did.

If you saw this before the race and bet the right way, you got paid pretty good as the tri paid $65. Keying AGS over all ex-Sightseeing turned a 1/5 horse into 9/2 or so.

Here were the exacta prices with 1 MTP:

2-1 $4
2-3 $12
2-4 $23
2-5 $10

Let's look at it a different way... would you have taken even money on Sightseeing to beat the other 3? My personal feeling was NO WAY. You didn't have to have much handicapping insight or genius, just read and interpret what the board had. A $12 exacta doesn't sound all that great... but when it's the "most likely result" it's the same as betting a 5-1 shot to win.

Redboard disclaimer:
I played my normal win bet on the 2-3 combination and 2/3 of one on 2-4. The effective return on the race was about 7/2 for simply not liking Sightseeing. Didn't play the tri but a $65 return was more than generous.

[SentToStud]

Originally Posted by philcski

Here were the exacta prices with 1 MTP:

2-1 $4
2-3 $12
2-4 $23
2-5 $10

Let's look at it a different way... would you have taken even money on Sightseeing to beat the other 3? My personal feeling was NO WAY. You didn't have to have much handicapping insight or genius, just read and interpret what the board had. A $12 exacta doesn't sound all that great... but when it's the "most likely result" it's the same as betting a 5-1 shot to win.

Redboard disclaimer:
I played my normal win bet on the 2-3 combination and 2/3 of one on 2-4. The effective return on the race was about 7/2 for simply not liking Sightseeing. Didn't play the tri but a $65 return was more than generous.

If you didn't like Sightseeing, the tri and/or ex was definitely the way to wager. I agree.

You guys have left the reservation here, what's next beret posts?
My favorite things about the TAP stuff is there is no "re-break" as has been discussed. That horse someone else brought up earlier, from Gulfstream, pretty much describes his whole Gulfstream meet. Horses that are in a drive for 4 furlongs and still pull away from the field. On a similar type topic, Ive also been noticing that Dutrow is running more and more horses in New Jersey. Save for the NY breds, he seems to be entering less and less horses. Am I imagining this? Someone with some patience look into this....

[philcski]

Originally Posted by Cardus

I don't understand, but perhaps you mistyped: did you mean that you played your normal exacta wager (not "win bet") on the 2-3?

No, I played a normal win bet size on the exacta (so in essence, I bet Tasteyville to "win" against the other 4, and played a dutch "win" on Helsinki for 2/3 of my normal win bet), or expressed differently, 10X my normal exacta wager.