4th at DEL today

[brianwspencer]

Originally Posted by NoLuvForPletch

Call me skeptical but this pay-off is a joke. How can I possibly believe that this race was on the up and up? The Parlay would've paid $1,122.94, while the Pick 3 paid $315? That means there were 45 $1 tix that had the correct Pick 3. Seriously?

That was the first thing that caught my eye, the low pick-3, but then again I lived in Portland, OR and have played Portland Meadows a ton and you really just never ever know with the pools when they're small.

One day at PM it runs 5/2, 8/1, 15/1 and your tri pays $125, a week later the same sequence pays $1,500.

I learned to just expect nothing rational, and early in the card at DEL it seems possible.

While I don't think it was a putover in the least, it really does seem ridiculous that that so many ticket would come in correct when the horse was such a longshot. Basically, it just sucks to be the one sitting there with a P-3 ticket and no win money on that one.

[SentToStud]

Originally Posted by brianwspencer

That was the first thing that caught my eye, the low pick-3, but then again I lived in Portland, OR and have played Portland Meadows a ton and you really just never ever know with the pools when they're small.

One day at PM it runs 5/2, 8/1, 15/1 and your tri pays $125, a week later the same sequence pays $1,500.

I learned to just expect nothing rational, and early in the card at DEL it seems possible.

While I don't think it was a putover in the least, it really does seem ridiculous that that so many ticket would come in correct when the horse was such a longshot. Basically, it just sucks to be the one sitting there with a P-3 ticket and no win money on that one.

Unlike the horse who won the first at Mountaineer by 3 lengths and paid $195 to win.

[infield_line]

but I think it is interesting, maybe just racing randomness, but you look at LRL and DEL and really look at some of the horses that have no logical chance and suddenly run their eyeballs out... like 0-53 and suddenly win against other horses with much better records and every right to win.....

How many $200+ win payoffs occur at BEL or SAR or any first line track? I think it would be an interesting study to look at $100 plus win payoffs and see how many of those horses ever win again, or win within the next 10 races. Granted, you can argue that there are more wiseguys following the bigger tracks, so fewer horses get missed.

I'm not griping, I did not have anything on the race other than my time analyzing the card, but that horse was not pickable by any capping method or angle (other than throw a dart) and that frankly discourages me from wanting to play lesser tracks, not draws me to them chasing big payoffs.....

I/L

[Danzig]

i saw a dime super pay over 10k, and the one just after paid 12 bucks. funny things happen.