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  #2  
Old 08-16-2007, 10:22 PM
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Lava Man, Tiago, Time Squared and Hello Sunday make a nice super box
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  #3  
Old 08-17-2007, 11:02 PM
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That Pac Classic is no easy one. Hard to like Lava at a short price despite his record as he moves to this surface, but it takes a lot to bet against him when he towers over the field. The thinking is closers favor this surface, but there have been enough wire jobs this week to dismiss that somewhat.

Tiago doesn't get me excited going against the older horses either.

Give me some Awesome Gem if he's near the 15-1. There look like several bombs could be a factor if Lava falters.
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Old 08-18-2007, 01:19 AM
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by the way, can anyone figure out why baffert decided to go with the forego for midnight lute instead of the o'brien?

i mean, yeah, the forego looks better on the resume, but i think he had about a 90% chance of winning the o'brien and not much of a chance in the forego at all.

his last workout was a blistering 1:22 from the gate over the dmr poly.
the fastest 7f race of the dmr meet? 123.2 by salute the sarge!
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  #5  
Old 08-18-2007, 07:52 AM
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The Forego is a grade one at Saratoga. The O'Brien isn't. The Forego is run on a real track. The O'Brien isn't. Remember, that workout was during the morning, when the track is closer to being a real track. In the afternoons, it's junk. I wouldn't run a speed horse on it either. No way in hell would I be running Bordonaro here. He couldn't even last the distance of the last race and now he's supposed to last further on that stuff? Good luck. Midnight Lute will run them off their feet in the Forego.
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  #6  
Old 08-18-2007, 08:43 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Indian Charlie
by the way, can anyone figure out why baffert decided to go with the forego for midnight lute instead of the o'brien?

i mean, yeah, the forego looks better on the resume, but i think he had about a 90% chance of winning the o'brien and not much of a chance in the forego at all.

his last workout was a blistering 1:22 from the gate over the dmr poly.
the fastest 7f race of the dmr meet? 123.2 by salute the sarge!
For the reasons King stated below, Baffert said; "if the race were at 7 am I'd keep him here"

Chatain is also going to the Forego.
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Old 08-18-2007, 09:22 AM
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supposedly they were hoping to get discreet cat to the forego...now they're hoping to run him at some point during the belmont fall meet.
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  #8  
Old 08-18-2007, 01:18 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Danzig
supposedly they were hoping to get discreet cat to the forego...now they're hoping to run him at some point during the belmont fall meet.
i suppose it would help if he had a workout or two first.

my inside secret source to the world of discreet cat has informed me they plan on never running him in america again.
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  #9  
Old 08-19-2007, 01:32 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Indian Charlie
by the way, can anyone figure out why baffert decided to go with the forego for midnight lute instead of the o'brien?

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  #10  
Old 08-19-2007, 11:10 AM
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in the O'Brien Include the two obvious horses, and then I think you have to toss Bordonaro from at least the exacta. I rank Publication and even Absolute Glory higher. The later is not a strong win candidate but merits use in exotics.
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  #11  
Old 08-19-2007, 01:37 PM
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Tiago is scratched, Sherriffs hates the polytrack just as much as baffert.
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  #12  
Old 08-19-2007, 02:31 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
in the O'Brien Include the two obvious horses, and then I think you have to toss Bordonaro from at least the exacta. I rank Publication and even Absolute Glory higher. The later is not a strong win candidate but merits use in exotics.
After watching the last 2 days races at Del Mar, I think the above opinion is wrong and I have changed my mind. Bordonaro has an opportunity here to run away with it. Speed has been holding well at the sprints and even some of the 8.5 furlong races. Horses have been pulling away and mostly winning or placing without the bunched up, fanning-out that we have come to love in our artificial racing.

The Classic - hard to use this much here at 10 furlongs... not a bad surface for Lava Man thats for sure.
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