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  #11  
Old 07-20-2007, 05:37 PM
Unstable Unstable is offline
Ellis Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Los Angeles, California
Posts: 475
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Quote:
Originally Posted by brianwspencer
Just two cents to think about (at least from my optimistic perspective) is that we're using the 65-1 number as the standard.

If this were a player who placed their pick-6 wager before the pools opened, say a bet from a bettor who wasn't actively wagering on each race and just handicapped it first and placed it -- the morning line odds and the final odds were:

20-1 -- off at 65-1
5-1 -- off at 8-1
3-1 -- off at 2-1
8-1 -- off at 14-1

While the early singling still looks fishy, it doesn't look quite as crazy when you look at the ML odds of the horses. This player didn't necessarily single a 65-1 shot, he or she may have singled what they thought was a 20-1 shot.

If that matters....
This explanation makes it sound less suspicious. I thought, after the Breeders' Cup Pick 6 fix, that it was near impossible to manipulate the Pick 6 wagers. Anyone know if all venues made the security repairs?
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