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Old 07-14-2007, 09:28 PM
jwkniska's Avatar
jwkniska jwkniska is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Mt. Prospect, IL (AP)
Posts: 1,578
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MISTERGEE
do you mean the poly favors closers, or is it just more of a fair surface, for example when there is a speed duel the closers can get up to win?
the polytrack, at least for AP and KEE, which have the same polytrack mix (and will be the same mix as Del Mar!!!) plays to stalkers and especially closers and has a bias toward them. Anything that goes out quick early on it will tire unless the horse is 10X better than anything else in the field.

Alot of people don't like it, because all they look at are the speed numbers and play the one with the highest rating regardless of class of horse, which will NOT work on polytrack. That also inflates the payouts, as everyone bets the cheap speed that will fade and won't bet a good closer.

It seems that the polytrack plays almost the exact opposite as the 'golden rail' that used to be at Keeneland on dirt and Aqueduct's inner dirt track, where anything that got out front early won. Poly: out front early is normally a bad thing, as the horse will tire and get passed by a good closer.
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