7/4: Belmont (Full Card)

Kasept · #1 07-04-2007, 07:52 AM

Dwyer and Tom Fool highlight nice Belmont card for the holiday. A traditionally important day in racing with many famed stakes run around the 4th for decades.

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES..

1st: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 6f (DD, Super)

1. #9 Tzipi 3-1: Contessa red 2nd off break, drops a notch.. 2nd
2. #6 In Command 5-2: Dutrow 4yo 3rd/layoff; Nipped this level last.. 6th
A. #5 Keen Spirit 10-1 9th
B. #7 Another Month 10-1 WON

$1 EX $40.00

2nd: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3)

Start of an incredibly difficult P4 string..

1. #6 Spirit of Gulch 12-1: Doubt we get 12-1; Contessa dropper, 2nd career.. 10th
2. #3 Renown 3-1: Figures to get to line first at some point.. 5th
A. #5 Bright Illusion 12-1 WON
B. #7 Star for Tina 10-1 4th

3rd: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f-T (P3)

Six betting interests with not a clue as to which of these baby girls can run.. An "all" button candidate for the multis..

1. #1e Pletcher entry 6-5: Storm Cat and El Prado firsters with GoGo and JV.. 3rd
2. #5 Our Dreamette 5-2: $200k Ritvo El Corredor middle-moved in debut.. 2nd
3. #4 City Roar 4-1: Clement bay by Carson City was parked wide in bow.. 4th

4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P3, Super)

Return to track of Funny Boy in a mysterious group that includes $310,000 Stonestreet (J. Jackson) Songandaprayer red (#9) from Pletcher that's being given away for $25k..

1. #3 SCRATCHED
2. #4 Speedball Howie 4-1: Wheels back quick; Can win with repeat of last.. 2nd
A. #8 A Song for You 5-2 4th
B. #5 Sal the Pal 15-1 5th

SCR ADD/SUB: #6 Pleasant Fiction 6-1 3rd

5th: CLM, 4+, 6f-T (P6, P3)

1. #2 ARCHIE BOY 10-1: Day's best value play; Looks like speed of the speed.. 6th
2. #5 Elizabull 2-1: GSP Pompa-Reynolds gelding bred by Live Oak.. 2nd
A. #4 No Parole 3-1 3rd
B. #3 King of Jazz 6-1 4th

@$50 P4 Play:

2: 3-5-6
3: 1e-4-5
4: 4-8
5: 2-4-5

3x3x2x3 = $54

6th: MSW, 3+, 6f (P3, Grand Slam, DD)

1. #5 Parade the Flag 7-2: How does this one not win on July 4th? 4th
2. #4 The Duke of Stanco 3-1: KMc speedball 0-2-0 first career pair.. 3rd
A. #6 Brogue 5-1 5th
B. #8 Tenacious Star 20-1 WON

7th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P4)

1. #9 Running Dog 3-1: J. Jerkens' Nerud gelding rarely misfires.. 3rd
2. #1 POE-R. Dutrow entry 4-1: Devil's Concierge remains.. WON
A. #5 Papua 8-1 5th
B. #6 SCRATCHED Sub #3 SCRATCHED-Late

8th: 33rd Tom Fool H. (Gr. II), 3+, 7f (P3)

1. #6 Commentator 7-5: Tough to beat when healthy.. 3rd
2. #2 Istan 10-1: Mott 5yo seeks initial GS placement; Adds Kent D.. 5th
A. #4 Rondo 4-1: $3MM Godolphin purchase makes GS debut; Edgar sticks.. 4th
B. #7 SCRATCHED

9th: 90th Dwyer (Gr. II), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

Named for famed Dwyer Bros. who helped build NY racing at turn of last century..

1. #6 ANY GIVEN SATURDAY 5-2: Makes return.. and is pissed off.. WON
2. #3 Sightseeing 7-2: May float up in price; Adds blinks and like 6/10 bullet.. 3rd
3. #2 Nobiz Like Shobiz 8-5: Seems underlaid; Doffs goggles; Yet to develop a step.. 2nd

10th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 7f-T (Super)

NOTE: AE #13 Dubliner, who keyed our boffo Belmont Day nightcap superfecta score, draws in.. Include.. 2nd

1. #2 In the Spotlight 4-1: Hertler still on duck; Dons Desormeaux, cuts back.. WON
2. #11 Seeking No More 3-1: Always fear Hushion; Appears an underlay..
A. #5 SCRATCHED-Late
B. #9 Our Wonder Cat 8-1

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #6 Legal Tender 12-1 3rd

<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1e-5-9
8: 6
9: 2-3-6
10: 2-(5-SCR)-6-9-11-13

3x1x3x6 = $54

<$100 P6 Play:

5: 2-5
6: 4-5
7: 1e-9
8: 6
9: 2-6
10: 2-6-13 (9th trifecta..)

2x2x2x1x2x3 = 48 x $2 = $96

Good luck! Enjoy the 4th!
Steve

gamblin4ever · #2 07-04-2007, 08:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept

Dwyer and Tom Fool highlight nice Belmont card for the holiday. A traditionally important day in racing with many famed stakes run around the 4th for decades.

BELMONT PARK

Pre-Scratches..

4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P3, Super)

Return to track of Funny Boy in a mysterious group that includes $310,000 Stonestreet (J. Jackson) Songandaprayer red (#9) from Pletcher that's being given away for $25k..

1. #3 Funny Boy 10-1: Given 60 days off mdn score; Value tab on my first horse..
2. #4 Speedball Howie 4-1: Wheels back quick; Can win with repeat of last..
A. #9 A Song for You 5-2:
B. #5 Sal the Pal 15-1

Steve, race 4, ur showing Pletcher's horse(A Song For You) as #9 it should be #8 instead.
thanks for all ur hard work

Kasept · #3 07-04-2007, 08:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gamblin4ever

Steve, race 4, ur showing Pletcher's horse(A Song For You) as #9 it should be #8 instead.
thanks for all ur hard work

Thanks.. and it's my pleasure..

gamblin4ever · #4 07-04-2007, 08:42 AM

$1 Early Pick4
R2 = 6,9
R3 = 1,4,5
R4 = 3,4,8
R5 = 2,5

2X3X3X2= $36

$1 Late Pick4
R7 = 1,5,6,9
R8 = 6
R9 = 2,3,6
R10= 2,6,11,13

4X1X3X4= $48

$2 Pick6
R5 = 5
R6 = 1,3,4,5,6,7,8
R7 = 9
R8 = 6
R9 = 2,3,6
R10= 2,13

1X7X1X1X3X2 X $2= $84

golfer · #5 07-04-2007, 08:43 AM

Any Given Saturday should be a great play today... but the sonofagun Nobiz scares the hell out of me! Reading Tagg's reasons (excuses) for the Derby, he has to move forward at some point, doesn't he?

XIIPointStables · #6 07-04-2007, 08:45 AM

No price to be had but it will be nice to see AGS make his way back to races.

Kasept · #7 07-04-2007, 08:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by golfer

Any Given Saturday should be a great play today... but the sonofagun Nobiz scares the hell out of me! Reading Tagg's reasons (excuses) for the Derby, he has to move forward at some point, doesn't he?

Forget the Derby excuses... What are the excuses for the 6 previous identical races he ran? The horse has been running the same race at the same speed since his debut. It's actually bizarre. Doesn't move forward.. doesn't regress. I've never seen anything like it in a 2-3 year old...

golfer · #8 07-04-2007, 08:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept

Forget the Derby excuses... What are the excuses for the 6 previous identical races he ran? The horse has been running the same race at the same speed since his debut. It's actually bizarre. Doesn't move forward.. doesn't regress. I've never seen anything like it in a 2-3 year old...

As crazy as it might seem, you COULD argue excuses for all his races this year, the early ones not being cranked up, the Wood was a good race, the fig came back a little light because he never left the rail, and then the Derby... I guess we'll see today.

Sightseek · #9 07-04-2007, 08:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept

Forget the Derby excuses... What are the excuses for the 6 previous identical races he ran? The horse has been running the same race at the same speed since his debut. It's actually bizarre. Doesn't move forward.. doesn't regress. I've never seen anything like it in a 2-3 year old...

Nobiz was brilliantly named as he reminds me of Waiting for Godot.

jwkniska · #10 07-04-2007, 09:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept

4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P3, Super)

Return to track of Funny Boy in a mysterious group that includes $310,000 Stonestreet (J. Jackson) Songandaprayer red (#9) from Pletcher that's being given away for $25k..

1. #3 Funny Boy 10-1: Given 60 days off mdn score; Value tab on my first horse..
2. #4 Speedball Howie 4-1: Wheels back quick; Can win with repeat of last..
A. #8 A Song for You 5-2:
B. #5 Sal the Pal 15-1

If I get 10-1 on Funny Boy, I'll take it in a heartbeat!

KY_Sasquash · #11 07-04-2007, 09:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by golfer

As crazy as it might seem, you COULD argue excuses for all his races this year, the early ones not being cranked up, the Wood was a good race, the fig came back a little light because he never left the rail, and then the Derby... I guess we'll see today.

Any Given Saturday romps today. I'm going to key him on top of Sightseeing for my exacta.

hockey2315 · #12 07-04-2007, 10:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek

Nobiz was brilliantly named as he reminds me of Waiting for Godot.

One of my favorite pieces of literature. . .

trifecta124 · #13 07-04-2007, 10:14 AM

First Defence...Wire to wire.

hockey2315 · #14 07-04-2007, 10:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by trifecta124

First Defence...Wire to wire.

He's supposed to scratch- If not, I'd totally agree with you. . .

philcski · #15 07-04-2007, 10:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek

Nobiz was brilliantly named as he reminds me of Waiting for Godot.

trifecta124 · #16 07-04-2007, 10:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315

He's supposed to scratch- If not, I'd totally agree with you. . .

He is?.....I was unaware of that. Ok, then I guess I will go with Any Given Saturday. Nobiz was my Derby horse & he dissapointed me. He was sitting
5th with no one around him. He had a perfect stalking trip in what should have been a stalkers pace & he never fired. I am not willing to give him another chance yet, not @ 6-5 anyway.

Hickory Hill Hoff · #17 07-04-2007, 10:24 AM

With all the speed in the Tom Fool, does anybody give a chance to 20-1 rail horse - Awesome Twist...
to come flying late and get there at the wire? Ran well fresh a year ago. Why not at 20-1!!!

hockey2315 · #18 07-04-2007, 10:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by trifecta124

He is?.....I was unaware of that. Ok, then I guess I will go with Any Given Saturday. Nobiz was my Derby horse & he dissapointed me. He was sitting
5th with no one around him. He had a perfect stalking trip in what should have been a stalkers pace & he never fired. I am not willing to give him another chance yet, not @ 6-5 anyway.

DRF said Frankel was probably going to scratch him but no confirmation on the NYRA site yet. . . I agree Nobiz is a big underlay- he just isn't that good. . . AGS or Sightseeing have it if Frankel scratches the winner. . .

#19 07-04-2007, 10:30 AM

Race Program # Horse Time Notes
2 12 Forza Bruta Early

3 6 Saber Jet Reprized Early NO TRIFECTA

4 3 Funny Boy Early
10 Dontess Early

5 8 Intimidating Early
10 Seeking the Money Early
11 The Village Vicar Early

6 1A South Pacific Early
2B Giant Deputy Early

7 1A Ferocious Won Early
4 Karakorum Thunder Early
6 Cool Days Early
7 Calculator Early

8 7 Saint Anddan Early

9 5 First Defence Early

10 1 Wheeling On Early
3 Soldier of Rome Early
14 Salty Karakorum Early
15 Brian's Cat Can Do Early
16 Will Never Bend Early

trifecta124 · #20 07-04-2007, 10:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315

DRF said Frankel was probably going to scratch him but no confirmation on the NYRA site yet. . . I agree Nobiz is a big underlay- he just isn't that good. . . AGS or Sightseeing have it if Frankel scratches the winner. . .

The scratches are out & First Defence is indeed scratched.