after the belmont,,tgs drop the ball

[Scav]

TG didn't blow the read whatsoever on Spun, it is up to the horse and conditioner to continue the pattern, and the horse didn't perform. Bad ride or not, I have no idea what happened, but the right pattern read was there IMO

[golfer]

Scav, the key to the race was beating Curlin, who had just run a 3 pt top off 2 weeks rest, and they had to pick someone... but Hard Spun had reacted from a neg 1.25 to a zero. Since he already reacted to his Derby top, why would 3 weeks rest and a 3rd start in 5 weeks make him a logical play to go forward again?
They called it a tricky read, and it turned out to be incorrect.

[golfer]

And, in the interest of fairness, he also said Wildandcrazyguy was his key horse, although, further in the interest of fairness, probably not at the odds he went off.

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by Cardus

He gets a little crazy (no pun intended) about keying long odds horses. I suspect that Len felt Imawildandcrazyguy would be 15-1 or thereabouts. I swear to you, I go to his Kentucky Derby and Breeders' Cup seminars and he NEVER keys a horse beneath 6- or 8-1.

Then shouldn't he be specific about the odds he needs? Posting almost any pick without an odds threshold is reckless, IMO.

--Dunbar

[Bobby Fischer]

Because of the pace, the Belmont turned out to be a race where it was very difficult to say that ground-loss and form-cycle were important factors.