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Quote:
Say, just for argument, that 10% of the races you bet on have a predermined winner because those races are fixed. Then that means your capping has no correlation to the outcome of those races. You may "benefit" from the fix or you may suffer from the fix. But you are in the same situation as the dart thrower. Your skill is irrelevant. On those fixed races, you can do no better than the track take, and perhaps worse. (I say "perhaps worse" for reasons I'll bring up in a new thread.) Most of us cap with the idea that we are going to do better than lose at the track take. So, race fixing would hurt us. --Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson |