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Old 05-31-2007, 01:49 PM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
Del Mar
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Danzig
there is no guarantee of anything. street sense could lay out, and still be out later this year. he could run, win, and be out later...or he could run, lose, be out...or he could run, and run later, win some and lose some.

who knows??? that's why it's under the umbrella known as gambling! if the horse can run, run him. if he can't or shouldn't, don't. but don't keep him in the barn now, if he's ready, as tho that is some guarantee that he'll remain ready down the road! just ask nick zito!


and i agree with the poster who said had he won by a head, rather than lost, we wouldn't even be having this discussion! shame that a few inches means the difference between 'what's best' and running....
There is a much better chance of the horse lasting if they skip the Belmont. That's what it comes down to. There are never any guarantees. If I eat really healthy, there is no guarantee that I won't get cancer. Does that mean that I shouldn't eat healthy? All you can do is do the smart thing and put the odds on your side. But even then, there are still no gurantees.

I don't think the fact that SS lost the Preakness is the reason they're not running. If anything, I think the fact that they lost would make them more likely to run because they would want to come back and reverse the tables on Curlin.
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Old 05-31-2007, 01:54 PM
zippyneedsawin's Avatar
zippyneedsawin zippyneedsawin is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin
There is a much better chance of the horse lasting if they skip the Belmont. That's what it comes down to. There are never any guarantees. If I eat really healthy, there is no guarantee that I won't get cancer. Does that mean that I shouldn't eat healthy? All you can do is do the smart thing and put the odds on your side. But even then, there are still no gurantees.

I don't think the fact that SS lost the Preakness is the reason they're not running. If anything, I think the fact that they lost would make them more likely to run because they would want to come back and reverse the tables on Curlin.

Of course it's a reason they're not running.. Just not the only factor. If SS had won the Preakness, you telling me they'd skip the Belmont anyway? I seriously doubt that.
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Old 05-31-2007, 02:28 PM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
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Originally Posted by zippyneedsawin
Of course it's a reason they're not running.. Just not the only factor. If SS had won the Preakness, you telling me they'd skip the Belmont anyway? I seriously doubt that.
I am so embarassed. I was so focused on his current situation that I forgot that if he would have won the Preakness that he would have still been alive to win the Triple Crown. Of course they would have run him in the Belmont in that case. They would have had to go for the Triple Crown.

But in that case, winning the Belmont would do more for his breeding value than winning any other race. Being the first Triple Crown winner in 30 years would make the horse worth an absolute fortune.

Last edited by Rupert Pupkin : 05-31-2007 at 03:51 PM.
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