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Old 07-05-2006, 06:32 PM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
Newmarket
 
Join Date: May 2006
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I have a feeling that once Pletcher gets things dialed in on TC side for the colts, he is going to go on a run and win a bunch of these races in the coming years.

Sometimes I think that it might actually be the size of his empire that gets in his way and prevents him from focusing in on a select few of the more promising individuals. When a Tagg or a Servis get a TC candidate it really becomes the main focal point and therefore as a result of all this attention on specific horses they have so far had more success. I think I remember that Servis spent the whole winter down at Oaklawn with Smarty, something that I'm guessing he has never done before.

I don't know... just a theory. But my main point is that I think Todd is bright enough that he will get it figured out and when he does, with the talent pool that he has to work with, he is going to win several classic's, imo.
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  #2  
Old 07-05-2006, 07:24 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
Dee Tee Stables
 
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Location: The Natural State
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ArlJim78
I have a feeling that once Pletcher gets things dialed in on TC side for the colts, he is going to go on a run and win a bunch of these races in the coming years.

Sometimes I think that it might actually be the size of his empire that gets in his way and prevents him from focusing in on a select few of the more promising individuals. When a Tagg or a Servis get a TC candidate it really becomes the main focal point and therefore as a result of all this attention on specific horses they have so far had more success. I think I remember that Servis spent the whole winter down at Oaklawn with Smarty, something that I'm guessing he has never done before.

I don't know... just a theory. But my main point is that I think Todd is bright enough that he will get it figured out and when he does, with the talent pool that he has to work with, he is going to win several classic's, imo.
you are correct about servis, he mapped out his course for smarty that winter, sat his family down and talked it over with them, and came to arkansas. since then he's actually bought a place here--altho with some of his recent successes, he's had some downs. most notably with rick porter pulling his horses--losing round pond had to hurt! servis has the talent, but he's put his family first--which is admirable in this day and age. certainly something you can't say about some trainers--you know, like those who decide to 'trade up'. i won't mention any names.....
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Old 07-06-2006, 09:34 AM
bogeydaman bogeydaman is offline
Sunshine Park
 
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Not sure why there is such amazement with Pletcher's early success with 2 year olds this year. This happens EVERY year (maybe to a lesser extent). He always has 50 or so amazing maiden breakers / allowance winners every year between the Belmont (both), Saratoga, and Gulfstream Park meets and 90% of them appear to be the next superhorse.

He is a tremendous trainer in getting young fast horses to the gate and run fast (typically in sprints).

My concern, if I was going to give him my horse, is that it appears to me (compared to other top trainers) that a small % (not number, but %) of these emergenging superstars "turn the corner". Most of them are done by the fall of their 3 year old careers.

For every Ashado, More than Ready, Flower Alley English Channel, etc there are 50 Confederations, Indy Dancer, Heckle, etc whose first couple races are their best in the carrers.

I agree he will one / many of the classics soon. You throw enough darts against the board eventually you will hit a bulls eye. Just in sheer numbers it would seem impossible for it to not happen.
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