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  #1  
Old 05-21-2007, 09:24 PM
Zippy Chippy Zippy Chippy is offline
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With the slower pace of the Belmont, I definitely think Hard Spun has a good shot at winning it. He would have had a good shot at the Preakness if Pino had kept him off the pace instead of making a move with 5 1/2 furlongs to go. He's a game horse and with a better jockey he'll have a much better chance at winning it.
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  #2  
Old 05-21-2007, 09:29 PM
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hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
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could it be d -money
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  #3  
Old 05-22-2007, 07:56 AM
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slotdirt slotdirt is offline
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Belmont has always been more of a stalkers race than a closer's race. I wouldn't think wildandcrazyguy would have much of a shot here.
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  #4  
Old 05-22-2007, 08:16 AM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by slotdirt
Belmont has always been more of a stalkers race than a closer's race. I wouldn't think wildandcrazyguy would have much of a shot here.
me either, i give him no shot.
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  #5  
Old 05-22-2007, 08:37 AM
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Mortimer Mortimer is offline
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I'm sick of hearing this is a stalkers race and not a closers.



I'm sick of hearing mid stalkers and closing sprinters....I'm sick of can't get 10 or 12 panels or whatever the fucl< have you.


I'm sick of tighter turns and sweeping turns and dirt,turf and Hollyrock.

I'm sick of " Franchmens houses" and ducked in and the entire frigging mess.





Can't someone talk about stinking motorcycles or fine foot wear or anything else for just a day or two?????







Now you all have a stinking question to ask yourselves.






But ah don't think ya are.
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  #6  
Old 05-22-2007, 08:52 AM
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SentToStud SentToStud is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mortimerdexterfoxworthy
I'm sick of hearing this is a stalkers race and not a closers.



I'm sick of hearing mid stalkers and closing sprinters....I'm sick of can't get 10 or 12 panels or whatever the fucl< have you.


I'm sick of tighter turns and sweeping turns and dirt,turf and Hollyrock.

I'm sick of " Franchmens houses" and ducked in and the entire frigging mess.





Can't someone talk about stinking motorcycles or fine foot wear or anything else for just a day or two?????







Now you all have a stinking question to ask yourselves.






But ah don't think ya are.
Easy there, big fella. If we didn't know better, we'd think you got the dosages mixed up. It's two from the little bottle; one from the big. As an aside, I'm wearing neither shoes nor socks at the moment, if that's of any help to you.
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  #7  
Old 05-22-2007, 08:58 AM
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Mortimer Mortimer is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SentToStud
Easy there, big fella. If we didn't know better, we'd think you got the dosages mixed up. It's two from the little bottle; one from the big. As an aside, I'm wearing neither shoes nor socks at the moment, if that's of any help to you.

Beat it Grossmaster.

Your lameness is exceeded only by your propensity to be a dumb azz.
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  #8  
Old 05-22-2007, 09:13 AM
jpops757 jpops757 is offline
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I havnt broken down the llast two races and analyzed the fractions and speed of each colt at various stages of the race. To me there is one thing visualy apparant. HS has the longest sustained drive of all the runners Ive seen.He dosnt come back to the field he just continues on. Acouple of very nice colts have caught hin in his last two, but it wasnt because he fell apart. With this kind of sustained run it could lead to a win even with the closers in here. because the closers have the added distance to compromise there late turn of speed and the leader has farther to stretch his lead before the closers make there run.Im not making HS my pick but if he goes I will give mot eliminate him because he runs up close.
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  #9  
Old 05-22-2007, 09:33 AM
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slotdirt slotdirt is offline
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Afleet Alex was a closer? Really? Did he close in the Juvenile, the Hopeful, the Sanford? Did he close in the Derby, even the Belmont?
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  #10  
Old 05-22-2007, 02:40 PM
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lemoncrush lemoncrush is offline
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I'd love for both to go.

Just as long as Pletcher doesn't send CQ!
I don't need to burn any more money on that little guy.
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  #11  
Old 05-22-2007, 03:00 PM
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deltagulf deltagulf is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lemoncrush
I'd love for both to go.

Just as long as Pletcher doesn't send CQ!
I don't need to burn any more money on that little guy.

don't worry no cq his last two races were bad enough.
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  #12  
Old 05-22-2007, 08:49 AM
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miraja2 miraja2 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by slotdirt
Belmont has always been more of a stalkers race than a closer's race. I wouldn't think wildandcrazyguy would have much of a shot here.
While I agree with you about IWCG's chances here, I don't think the Belmont really favors one particular style over another that much. Look no further than the last two Belmonts and you will find closers winning. Afleet Alex and Jazil were way back there down the backstretch.
The mistake most people make in this race I think (and the one I MIGHT be making with Hard Spun) is thinking that front-runners have no shot. That is not the case. If a front-runner can relax, he can be a factor.
ANY running style can win this race. It is just about who has the lungs for it.
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  #13  
Old 05-22-2007, 10:34 AM
horseofcourse horseofcourse is offline
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Afleet Alex was a closer. You can get arrested for stalking. Alex was too kind to do that.
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  #14  
Old 05-22-2007, 10:34 AM
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Quote:
"Right now, I'd say I don't think we're going to run in the Belmont, but there's a couple of factors that have come up, so we're going to put that decision off for a week," Nafzger said.

Nafzger said he had spoken to owner Jim Tafel on Sunday, and would do so again at mid-week.

"What we have to decide is what we want to do with him the rest of the year, because what we do regarding the Belmont will determine what we do the rest of the year," Nafzger said. "The main factor is, how did he bounce out of the Preakness? That will take a week."

Nafzger and his wife, Wanda, drove to Baltimore from Louisville. En route home, they stopped in West Virginia on Sunday for a two-day vacation at a resort before returning to Churchill Downs, where trainer Ian Wilkes, his former assistant, was monitoring Street Sense.

"Ian said he came back awful good," Nafzger said.
Hmm.
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  #15  
Old 05-22-2007, 08:50 AM
horseofcourse horseofcourse is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by slotdirt
Belmont has always been more of a stalkers race than a closer's race. I wouldn't think wildandcrazyguy would have much of a shot here.
I would call Jazil, Afleet Alex, Sarava, Lemon Drop Kid, Victory Gallop, all closers.

That's a pretty good percentage the last 10 years. (Afleet Alex WAS a closer.)

That being said, I don't think wildandcrazy has much of a shot.
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