Bounce theory, Steve?

[golfer]

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin

I strongly disagree. If a horse runs a big race, he will be way less likely to repeat that race if he comes back too soon. You think a horse is more likely to repeat a big effort if he's brought back in 2 weeks? If that were the case, then horses would just keep running every two weeks. Horses would be running 26 times a year.

Any good trainer will tell you that if a horse runs a big race, the horse will be more likely to repeat that effort if he is given plenty of time(at least 4 weeks). All the best trainers will tell you that. They've all learned it through experience. I learned it very quickly through handicapping. It was one of the first things that I noticed back in the mid-1980s when I first started going to the track. I noticed that really good horses would often times regress badly if they came back too soon.

Rupert, this is the impression I was under, and that's why I created this thread. I am trying to keep an open mind, learn from others experience, but as you just wrote, 2 weeks back off a top being better than 4 to 6 weeks just doesn't make logical sense.

[Kasept]

I have too much work to do before leaving tomorrow to detail this, but the crux of the confusion here is "big efforts" AS PART OF WHAT KIND OF OVERALL PATTERN AND AT WHAT POINT IN A HORSE'S DEVELOPMENT...