Will Gomez ruin Preakness for "King of the Roxy"

[jpops757]

Originally Posted by docicu3

Both of the response posts didn't offer an argument of any kind other than....Gomez is God, that horse sucks!!!!

Do a little research and at least bring something with stats or figs or trends...

I already said Gomez is leading the money chase but those last few days at Belmont he looked like Fong!!!

If you look at the figs you will see that outside of Curlin/Hard Spun/Street Sense only CQ, King and Flying First Class have run negative numbers.

The only rested horse in the bunch is "King" ......

It is so boring to sit here and say Street Sense/Hard Spun/Curlin and it's likely wrong statistically.

I posted and played Street Sense/Hard Spun in the derby....

Last year I had Bernadini/Sweet in the Preakness by the same logic.....the rested horse has an edge if he is good enough and Kings race 2 back might be good enough to win and who's to say he's peaked yet.

If I'm right there will be a price, otherwise this may be a very boring chalky Preakness.

Im not going to say Gomez is "gog" ot the horse sucks but if you like the horse , Gomez sure isnt a good reason to downgrade his chances. Liking roxy probably makes more sense than tossing Curlin.

[milliam]

You can't handicap a race thinking a jockey is going to mess up, you are better off thinking everybody is going to do the right thing and base your bet on trip, pace, and most important odds.