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  #1  
Old 05-16-2007, 02:01 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid
The story of Ruffian hardly puts racing in a positive light..
Frank Whitely and LeRoy are not your idea of a good time?
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  #2  
Old 05-16-2007, 02:54 PM
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I'm surprised none of the trainers told HBO that drugs have nothing at all to do with horses racing less often.....it's all because these natural dirt surfaces keep getting more and more punishing on a horse with each passing year.
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Old 05-16-2007, 03:00 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
I'm surprised none of the trainers told HBO that drugs have nothing at all to do with horses racing less often....
Well actually they dont
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Old 05-16-2007, 03:06 PM
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Why do they race so infrequently now--and so many need a lot of time between starts?

You're saying medication, be it illegal or legal, has nothing to do with this trend?
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Old 05-16-2007, 06:42 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Why do they race so infrequently now--and so many need a lot of time between starts?

You're saying medication, be it illegal or legal, has nothing to do with this trend?
The trend has been in effect since 1960. One of the biggest culprits in the current time is statistics. First off owners are far too concerned with a trainers win percentage, therefore trainers watch those like a hawk. Many guys will wait out a horse until the perfect senario occurs before running them. Also the Sheets mentality has become so accepted that no one wants to run back quick and risk a poor performance because the sheets guys say that it is bad. Of course at the lower tracks where much of this doesn't matter the trend is not nearly as noticable.

The funny thing about the whole starts per year per horse trend is that average field size has dropped very little in the last 40 years. I believe that it has dropped less than a horse per race while the avg starts per year has dropped signifigantly. Of course factors like winter racing and crop size are never brought up when talking about this topic, just bad trainers and evilmedications. The fact that 2 year olds in particular are campaigned so lightly in comparison to years ago is another factor that should be taken into consideration. How many 2 year olds not trained by Jamie Sanders (sorry Fearless Leader) are run more than twice or 3 times? Very few. A solid 2 year old campaign used to consist of 6 or 7 races even for the top horses.

I am not saying that we as trainers have not become too dependant on medications, because we have. But blaming everything that is wrong with the sport from breeding practices to less hardy horses to lighter campaigns on medication is just too simplistic for me.
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Old 05-16-2007, 07:14 PM
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You are right that average field size hasn't fallen off...though, that may be due more to the big increase in foal crop size since the 60's.

In 1960, the average field size was 8.95 and the average starts a year per horse was 11.31

In 2003 (most recent year I have stats for) the average field size has dropped mildly to 8.30...the average starts per horse have declined to 6.62

I believe the breeding industry has played a chief role in this long-term trend, but, I'm also think the medication (legal and illegal) have as well.

According to the '04 ARM, 2-year-old races made up just 7.7% of the races run in 2003, and the average 2yo made 3.3 starts.

I think less medication might be greatly to the benefit of the sport.
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Old 05-16-2007, 07:30 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
You are right that average field size hasn't fallen off...though, that may be due more to the big increase in foal crop size since the 60's.
Which should drop the avg # per starts. More horses = more inferior horses= less starts

The increase in size of foal crop did more damage than anyone ever seems to realize. If you triple the major leagues to 90 teams dont you think the overall quality of player would go down? Wouldn't the overall quality of play suffer? Then why would it be any different when a great number inferior horses who would not have been bred or bred infrequently are thrown into the gene pool? Shouldn't the racing suffer?

Unlike people, thoroughbreds are not a natural breed. It is a man made breed which suffers when the selectivity of breeding stock is lowered like it was in the 70's. The breed will not ever fully recover because there is too much money at stake to eliminate much of what is wrong in modern day breed to the market practices.
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Old 05-16-2007, 07:36 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

I think less medication might be greatly to the benefit of the sport.
Define less medication and I may agree with you. But I doubt it would change things much.
Medication is an easy target but it is a complex subject that very few who are qualified to discuss it are willing to, for fear of being cast out as a politically incorrect druggie. Advances in modern day medicine have helped every athlete in the world except baseball pitchers and supposedly thoroughbred horses.
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