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#1
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His previous two races, with that exact same trip, were AT LEAST as good as his Derby performance. He won the Juvenile by double digits with a record figure in one---and was perhaps the only 3yo ever to run a triple digit Beyer, off a layoff, going two-turns on the demanding Tampa Downs surface. EVERYONE knows what kind of horse he is with that trip (an excellent horse) however, from watching films of his races when he did not have that trip, I believe he has bad habits, and will run alarmingly unimpressive, if he has to rally wide without a pace setup. The fact that he ran better than arguably all but zero or one horse---it has nothing to do with my belief that this horse will have problems when he can't skate inside of horses. |
#2
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Furthermore, SS did not have ideal trips in his two races (at Arlington and Keeneland) before the BC Juv. He was still running gamely in those races, losing by less then 2 lengths in both of those races. I do not think you have backed up any of your comments with any original insightful, well thought out material, just biased opinion. |
#3
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Please do me a favor, and back up your comment that the rail was dead on Tampa Derby day with the same "original insightful, well thought out material" that I failed to produce. |
#4
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I give you a lot of credit for ducking me on that..... Even Zhuge Liang would have had an almost impossible time convincing anyone that the rail was dead that day---let along "DEAD DEAD DEAD." |
#5
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Tampa Bay Downs Race 1 The #3 horse gets the lead easy, no crazy fractions, starts to pull away on the rail and then quickly tires and is passed by #1 horse who took a 3 wide path from 4th to pass everyone and wins by 3/4. Race 3 #10 horse races wide around the track to pass all at the top of the stretch and wins in hand while those on the rail all drift back 1st through 4, #10, #9, #7, #8. All raced off the rail. Race 6 The horse on the lead at the top of the stretch is in the 3 path, a horse on the inside looks to make a move after sitting on the rail and can't do anything, meanwhile 2 horses pass the leader from the 4 and 5 paths. Race 7 Horse draws away from the 3 path on the lead, horse on 5 path finish one two, while two challangers who were in contention in the stretch fail miserably on the rail and 2 path. Race 9 The 2 horse comes 6 wide around the turn to blow by the leader who was in the 4 path. Nobody on the rail does anything but get passed. Race 10 The 5 horse, 7/2 has a prime position turning for home, gets to the rail and is swallowed up by 3 horses running from the 4 path out, to finish a well beaten 5th on the rail. Go take a look yourself champ; http://tampabaydowns.com/DailyReplays.aspx Only one winner all day on the rail besides SS, and he was a HUGE fav. Want to make another unproven claim? |
#6
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#7
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