5/5: Churchill-Derby Day (Carryover)

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by golfer

Steve, as I wrote in my selections, Einstein's last 2 races were HUGE, do you think he's a lock here, or does he react to those?

Grass horses do not 'react' to big efforts like dirt horses, and have much longer runs of sustained form as well.. Helen Pitts is perhaps the best lesser-known trainer in the game, knows this horse inside out and knew this was his target immediately following the stunning effort in the Munoz.. He'll be ready for a Gr. I effort..

A soft or yielding course adds some mystery to the situation of course, as Better Talk Now lives for boggy sod but usually needs a race after vacationing.. Brilliant licks his chops for rain as well, and Howard's hedgehog is perfect in three tries this lawn anyway. Look set for big try at bonus tote, with '06 Kent BC score as his model for success.. Icy Atlantic is underlaid at 7-2 ML and is an unknown, to me, with cut in the ground.. Biancone's 20-1Euro ex-pat Danzon relished it soft in Gay Paree '05-'06..

A good edition of this important race..

[golfer]

Thanks, Steve.. Using all you mentioned UNDERNEATH Einstein this looks like a "sack grab" race.

[AeWingnut]

I don't know if there is a track bias at Churchill this week.
I'm looking at the 4th race and think #9 Sentry is an include in the exotics at 30-1. He likes to lead and has worked ok. I am absolutely certain it's the tasty M/L that has swayed me. Should manage to upset someone's trifecta.

[Kasept]

Scratches affect P6 suggestion.. Revised above.. Still $96..

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

good luck steve , great job as allways....................delete delete..lol

[Rudeboyelvis]

P6

R5) 3,4
R6) 5,6
R7) 3,5,7
R8) 1,9
R9) 1,6
R10) 2,6,7,8,12,14,18

2x2x3x2x2x7 = 336x$2 = 642.00

Best of Luck everybody

[Bigsmc]

Small stab:

5 - 4,6
6 - 6
7 - 5,7,10
8 - 1,2,9
9 - 6
10 - 7,16

$72
GL