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Old 05-01-2007, 12:36 PM
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Cajungator26 Cajungator26 is offline
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Originally Posted by ArlJim78
1) Maybe the horse will be ready to run his best, but will it be enough? As good as Mr. P is, he hasn't exactly got this Derby thing figured out yet either

2) bad way to analyze a horses chances in the derby if you ask me, if Pletcher is going to run him JV will be the jockey. There is no way in the world that Pletcher sends him buts JV says "listen, this horse is not ready I'm looking for another mount".

3) Of course eight weeks layoffs are common for other races, and horses can win off eight week layoffs. as you know derby history has not been kind to horses off of long layoffs. Five weeks last year made history.

Add to that another hurdle that I think is not small, no 9 furlong prep races. So in addition to the layoff, he is adding more distance than most.

But the final comment about potential monster is the one most perplexing to me. I see nothing in his PP's to suggest that. If you have watched his replays over and over surely you have noticed the ideal set-up that this one had in the LA Derby.
JV had his choice of mounts. He chose CQ.
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Old 05-01-2007, 12:46 PM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
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Originally Posted by Cajungator26
JV had his choice of mounts. He chose CQ.
Choice of mounts between how many? Scat Daddy or CQ or AGS?
To me his choice tells me nothing. In my view the other two stand a better chance.
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Old 05-01-2007, 12:49 PM
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Cajungator26 Cajungator26 is offline
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Originally Posted by ArlJim78
Choice of mounts between how many? Scat Daddy or CQ or AGS?
To me his choice tells me nothing. In my view the other two stand a better chance.
Agreed, but it was JV's choice nonetheless. If he wanted AGS, he would be on him. If he wanted Scat Daddy, he would be on him. Frankly, I'm glad Prado is up on Scat Daddy. I thought his ride on him in the Florida Derby was great.
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Old 05-01-2007, 01:17 PM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
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Originally Posted by Cajungator26
Agreed, but it was JV's choice nonetheless. If he wanted AGS, he would be on him. If he wanted Scat Daddy, he would be on him. Frankly, I'm glad Prado is up on Scat Daddy. I thought his ride on him in the Florida Derby was great.
I understand that it was his choice. All I'm saying and I think you agree is to not read too much into it.

I don't think there is a better all around rider today than Prado.
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