Place Vs. Fave/Long Exacta Running Tab

[Dunbar]

It's all over, folks! Well, sort of over....

Day 34 (No dark days included) April 18, 2007
Carryover differential: PLACE BETTING +$80.50

AQ, KE, SA

AQ: Race1-- PL 15.40 EX 64.00
AQ: Race2-- PL 14.20
AQ: Race4-- PL 32.40


Today's races: EX $64.00, PL $62.00
Today's differential: EX +$2.00

Final Totals: EX $3853.40, PL $3770.90
OVERALL DIFFERENTIAL: EX +$82.50

Total Number of 10-1's or higher in spots 1 or 2: (250) Will Stop=250
Total Exactas so far: 75 (30%)

Total races run at all tracks during the contest--755 (we stopped as soon as we hit the 250th place bet. I'm including 3 races at Keenland in the total of "races run".)



Congrats go to Grits for winning the bet with Randall.

The exacta bets won by $82.50. That's 2.2% more than the Place bets. However, the $82.50 margin is less than many of the exacta bets. It looks like we will need a LOT more races to see a difference that is big enough to consider meaningful.

My intention is to follow this out for another 250 place bets. However, if BTWind comes back with some historical data that is compelling, I'll probably hang it up.

--Dunbar