Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 04-10-2007, 03:43 PM
Left Bank's Avatar
Left Bank Left Bank is offline
Fairgrounds
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Southern Canada
Posts: 1,581
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ArlJim78
What are you talking about? its not that everyone is abuzz over the horse. Steve merely said not to ignore him and that the possibility exists that he could win. That doesn't mean he was predicting a win. Predicting that he won't win is pretty lame and not very bold.

And what monsters are waiting to eat him alive? Who is your pick as of today.

If you ask me its too early to start ruling out a horse like Tiago as having no chance.
If you read this thread from the beginning,you will see there are a ton of people abuzz about this horse.
I have a right to disagree with all of them and Steve if I want.And he,and you and whoever else,have a right to disagree with me.That is just fine.That is how a forum works.I never said Steve was predicting a win,and that was not the topic we were discussing.Don't know how you got that.As far as my derby horse,I do not have one and will not until the first saturday in May,when I have the DRF in front of me.But I do know that Tiago will not be him.
Monsters?Everything east of California,those monsters.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 04-10-2007, 03:49 PM
10 pnt move up's Avatar
10 pnt move up 10 pnt move up is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 3,745
Default

Also here are the quarters and final 1/8th I came up with Tiago

25 24 23 3/5, 23 4/5, 12 4/5

what is wrong with that? This horse is bred to go farther, he is not really in play in the Derby as he will be overbet. While I respect Drugs opinion I think this horse has more talent then his brother.

If I hear the Santa Anita derby fell apart again I am going to puke. It was a fair race, the pace I have is 107 with a final of 100, hardly a fall apart (I had the derby as 130-100 that Giacomo won, now that is fall apart).

So objectively Tiago made a strong middle move into a fair pace to reach contention, then was able to grind out the win when Roxy got tired late. What is horrible with that for a horse in his fourth start? Sure he probably runs second had Roxy come home strong I would still view the outcome for what is, a well bred distance horse, late developing under strong connections who will run against a week field in a month.

Why is it everyone has to have an agenda when breaking down this colt, seems they are still frustrated over Giacomo if you ask me.
__________________
"To learn who rules over you, simply find out who you are not allowed to criticize"...Voltaire
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 04-10-2007, 03:49 PM
Cajungator26's Avatar
Cajungator26 Cajungator26 is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Hossy's Mom's basement.
Posts: 10,217
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kimmeastar
If you read this thread from the beginning,you will see there are a ton of people abuzz about this horse.
I have a right to disagree with all of them and Steve if I want.And he,and you and whoever else,have a right to disagree with me.That is just fine.That is how a forum works.I never said Steve was predicting a win,and that was not the topic we were discussing.Don't know how you got that.As far as my derby horse,I do not have one and will not until the first saturday in May,when I have the DRF in front of me.But I do know that Tiago will not be him.
Monsters?Everything east of California,those monsters.
LMFAO!!! Talk about contradicting yourself.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 04-10-2007, 03:50 PM
MisterB's Avatar
MisterB MisterB is offline
Woodbine
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Saratoga
Posts: 1,040
Default

Does Mike Smith provide any negatives?? The Moss's think this horse is better than G-Man
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 04-10-2007, 03:52 PM
Cannon Shell's Avatar
Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
Sha Tin
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 20,855
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MisterB
Does Mike Smith provide any negatives??
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 04-10-2007, 03:53 PM
10 pnt move up's Avatar
10 pnt move up 10 pnt move up is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 3,745
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MisterB
Does Mike Smith provide any negatives?? The Moss's think this horse is better than G-Man
what do you mean negatives? he sure rode the horse much better last out then victor did.

from what I understand the Moss' want Mike to ride all their horses from here on out and was one of the reasons he is going back to socal. (among others, like riding like **** in ny).
__________________
"To learn who rules over you, simply find out who you are not allowed to criticize"...Voltaire
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 04-10-2007, 03:54 PM
Cannon Shell's Avatar
Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
Sha Tin
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 20,855
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up

from what I understand the Moss' want Mike to ride all their horses from here on out and was one of the reasons he is going back to socal. (among others, like riding like **** in ny).
I'm sure he wont be too busy
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 04-10-2007, 03:59 PM
10 pnt move up's Avatar
10 pnt move up 10 pnt move up is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 3,745
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
I'm sure he wont be too busy

mike not busy, thats funny.......the guy never stops ( :
__________________
"To learn who rules over you, simply find out who you are not allowed to criticize"...Voltaire
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 04-10-2007, 03:53 PM
Cannon Shell's Avatar
Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
Sha Tin
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 20,855
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MisterB
The Moss's think this horse is better than G-Man
think or hope?
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 04-10-2007, 04:27 PM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
Newmarket
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 6,549
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kimmeastar
If you read this thread from the beginning,you will see there are a ton of people abuzz about this horse.
I have a right to disagree with all of them and Steve if I want.And he,and you and whoever else,have a right to disagree with me.That is just fine.That is how a forum works.I never said Steve was predicting a win,and that was not the topic we were discussing.Don't know how you got that.As far as my derby horse,I do not have one and will not until the first saturday in May,when I have the DRF in front of me.But I do know that Tiago will not be him.
Monsters?Everything east of California,those monsters.
Why do you claim to have the right to disagree with people talking about Tiago? Did anyone try to deny you that right?

I thought your taking such execption to Steve saying to not ignore the horse may have been mistakenly based on thinking that he was predicting a win.

So to you a monster is any horse outside of California and you start your handicapping on Derby saturday with the racing form. okaaay. very well then, but this sounds foolish. In one sense you are saying you haven't even started handicapping yet, while at the same time you are ruling out any horse from California? That is very arbitrary.

Each horse should be evaluated on its merits not based on the state where they prepped. In general I would agree that the CA horses are not overly strong this year, but its too soon to start ruling out an entire region haphazardly. I would for sure not rule out Great Hunter or Tiago at this point.
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 04-10-2007, 05:00 PM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ArlJim78
Why do you claim to have the right to disagree with people talking about Tiago? Did anyone try to deny you that right?

I thought your taking such execption to Steve saying to not ignore the horse may have been mistakenly based on thinking that he was predicting a win.

So to you a monster is any horse outside of California and you start your handicapping on Derby saturday with the racing form. okaaay. very well then, but this sounds foolish. In one sense you are saying you haven't even started handicapping yet, while at the same time you are ruling out any horse from California? That is very arbitrary.

Each horse should be evaluated on its merits not based on the state where they prepped. In general I would agree that the CA horses are not overly strong this year, but its too soon to start ruling out an entire region haphazardly. I would for sure not rule out Great Hunter or Tiago at this point.
Great Hunter is the goods. Every passing day I like his chances more.
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 04-10-2007, 05:05 PM
TitanSooner TitanSooner is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Los Alamitos
Posts: 1,303
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
Great Hunter is the goods. Every passing day I like his chances more.
agreed.. His Lewis was impressive
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 04-11-2007, 10:30 AM
KY_Sasquash KY_Sasquash is offline
Golden Gate
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 365
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
Great Hunter is the goods. Every passing day I like his chances more.

He's my top choice right now, too. Cant wait to see him run this weekend in the BG Stakes. a lot can change though
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 07:20 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.