derby odds

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by robfla

i dont think any horse will be under 3/1 at post time. guessing the fav will be aroung 5 or 6:1

to me, any horse under 35/1 in the future pools 1 or 2 doesnt get my money until post time.

Sometimes I really wish this were a betting exchange. I'd be willing to bet major money that the fav is under 5-1.

--Dunbar

[zippyneedsawin]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

Sometimes I really wish this were a betting exchange. I'd be willing to bet major money that the fav is under 5-1.

--Dunbar

I agree. Something would have to seriously go wrong with Street Sense for him not to be under 5-1 on Derby day.

[slotdirt]

Note that of the four 3-1 or under horses since 2000, only one has won the race (Fusaichi Pegasus). If Street Sense is under 3-1, I'd say there are a lot of bad betters out there.

[POINTGIVEN1985]

Originally Posted by slotdirt

Note that of the four 3-1 or under horses since 2000, only one has won the race (Fusaichi Pegasus). If Street Sense is under 3-1, I'd say there are a lot of bad betters out there.

i disagree with that, how would they be bad bettors ? he already ran huge at churchill.... if he wins the bluegrass and comes into the derby 2-2 on the year and defeating the likes of any given satuday, great hunter and hard spun then i'd say he almost definitly be under 3-1

[philcski]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

Sometimes I really wish this were a betting exchange. I'd be willing to bet major money that the fav is under 5-1.

--Dunbar

I'm not so sure they will be. There's a lot of horses that will attract attention this year; if Street Sense blows their doors off in the Blue Grass he probably will be, Nobiz with a big performance in the Wood might be, but if Hard Spun or AGS do they'd probably be right at 5 or 6-1, same thing with CQ in the Wood.

All and all this is going to be a fantastic Derby.

[Thunder Gulch]

Street Sense is the only one that could get down below 3-1, and it would take another big effort to knock him down there.