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#1
04-02-2007, 10:26 AM
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I don't see Nobiz beating Circular Quay, so he probably won't go off at below 5-1. Street Sense though could very easily be a 2-1 favorite. He obviously loves Churchill (108 Beyer) and even the skeptics like me are beginning to think he might be something special. The horse he just beat might just be the number 2 3yr old out there.
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#2
04-02-2007, 10:41 AM
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I think Street Sense or Great Hunter could go off under 3-1 with any sort of impressive performance in the Blue Grass, though more likely Street Sense, because in regards to his BCJ win -- all of the same angles are going to be there that were there on BC day.
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#3
04-02-2007, 10:53 AM
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When looking at the favorite, four times in the "oughts" since 2000 has a Kentucky Derby favorite been below 3-1: Bellamy Road (around 5/2), Empire Maker (5/2), Point Given (around 2-1) and Fusaichi Pegasus (a little less than 5/2). In that bunch we had a blowout winner of the Wood, the second coming according to the pedigree experts, the second coming according to Bob Baffert, and a crazy son of Mr. Prospector.
Is there a 3-1 and under type horse in this year's field? Who knows?
__________________
The world's foremost expert on virtually everything on the Redskins 2010 season: "Im going to go out on a limb here. I say they make the playoffs."
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#4
04-02-2007, 10:58 AM
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Too early to really tell...
Blowout wins in any of the big preps left will sway things, but all things being equal, I see it similar to last year with several lukewarm favorites hovering around 9-2 and 7-1.
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#5
04-02-2007, 10:54 AM
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No horses will go off at 3/1 or under!!!!!
Sure there are some nice horses(Street Sense,Great Hunter,CQ,Scat Daddy) You maybe get a big bet on 1 of them but still best odds will be a 5/1 or maybe a 9/2 on 1 or 2 of those horses Just too many horses running.
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#6
04-02-2007, 11:06 AM
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Quote:
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