SI article Green Monkey or Green Bust?

[randallscott35]

Originally Posted by miraja2

My problem with this post is that you don't seem to realize quite how difficult winning a G1 race can be. Look at a horse like Sun King. He is a pretty good horse. In his life he has won two G2s, two G3s, and been on the board in seven G1s. But he has never won a G1. I think that if the Green Monkey ends up being as good as Sun King, we would all be pretty shocked at this point. But even if for some strange reason that does happen, it STILL doesn't mean that he is going to win a G1.
That, in my opinion, is one of the main reasons that your post will prove to be incorrect.

Does he ever break his maiden is a better question? I'd say it's less than 50/50.