Admitted Excitement: DWC Day(morning)

[blackthroatedwind]

Looks like Todd didn't have his usual luck of the draw....as he drew inside with Bishop Court Hill in the sprint ( not that he had a chance ) and outside in the turf races ( especially Honey Ryder who has been the recipient of more perfect trips than any horse I have ever seen ).

[blackthroatedwind]

I will have to wait for pps.

[outofthebox]

Im really excited about the DWC too. Just wished i had confidence that Discreet Cat will be 100%for the race. I mean he's at such a big disadvantage fitniss wise, that is unless Godolphin has somehow created training trials at the track like they do for their grass horses. But yea, overall a great day of racing. Cant wait....

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

collier hill ..again is my bet o the day

[zippyneedsawin]

Originally Posted by outofthebox

Im really excited about the DWC too. Just wished i had confidence that Discreet Cat will be 100%for the race. I mean he's at such a big disadvantage fitniss wise, that is unless Godolphin has somehow created training trials at the track like they do for their grass horses. But yea, overall a great day of racing. Cant wait....

That's the biggest reason why I think Invasor will win this.

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by zippyneedsawin

That's the biggest reason why I think Invasor will win this.

I certainly can't argue with anyone that likes Invasor's chances, but I think Discreet Cat also has a HUGE chance here. They have treated this horse with kid-gloves his entire career, so I don't think they would run him here if they didn't think he was 100%.
As for coming off a long layoff, he has done that effectively before.
I know some people question his ability to get 10f, but that has never made much sense to me given how he looked going 9f in the UAE Derby last year, and the fact that his dam was a G1 winner going 10f.
Invasor is a great horse, and I wouldn't be at all shcoked if he won it, but given how the two horses ran over this surface last year, I think I would give the slight edge to DC at this point.

Originally Posted by zippyneedsawin

That's the biggest reason why I think Invasor will win this.

I agree. The horse has turned into a monster. We know he can win being shipped and off a while. Total pro. He is a mature master of the craft.

Do you guys really think Lava Man can do it on the turf? I would love to see him win, but what about all the "true" turf types from elsewhere?

[Scav]

Originally Posted by pgardn

I agree. The horse has turned into a monster. We know he can win being shipped and off a while. Total pro. He is a mature master of the craft.

Do you guys really think Lava Man can do it on the turf? I would love to see him win, but what about all the "true" turf types from elsewhere?

To quote Andy, "I DON'T CARE WHAT THEIR BREEDING IS"

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by pgardn

I agree. The horse has turned into a monster. We know he can win being shipped and off a while. Total pro. He is a mature master of the craft.

Do you guys really think Lava Man can do it on the turf? I would love to see him win, but what about all the "true" turf types from elsewhere?

No I don't. The rule is, The only thing more idiotic than betting against Lava Man in California is betting on him anywhere else in the world.
I think shipping him to this race was a big mistake. I hope he wins, but I don't like his chances at all.

[zippyneedsawin]

Originally Posted by pgardn

Do you guys really think Lava Man can do it on the turf? I would love to see him win, but what about all the "true" turf types from elsewhere?

as much as I like Lava Man, I'd be surprised if he won.

Duty Free
10 Admire Moon 9/2
13 Daiwa Major 5/1
5 Lava Man 7/1
12 Miesque's Approval 8/1
11 English Channel 9/1
3 Stormy River 10/1
2 Best Name 12/1
7 Kapil 14/1
8 Pompeii Ruler 14/1
14 Formal Decree 16/1
16 Linngari 16/1
4 Irridescence 18/1
15 Bad Girl Runs 20/1
1 Seihali 20/1
9 Flashy Wings 25/1 (I like!!)
6 Mystical 33/1


The odds from our traveling poster (brockguy) from some book. They got him as a 3rd choice in what looks like a tossup race from these numbers. How is this? They think this many US dollars come in, or they really think Lava man has a chance. The I like is not mine.

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by pgardn

Duty Free
10 Admire Moon 9/2
13 Daiwa Major 5/1
5 Lava Man 7/1
12 Miesque's Approval 8/1
11 English Channel 9/1
3 Stormy River 10/1
2 Best Name 12/1
7 Kapil 14/1
8 Pompeii Ruler 14/1
14 Formal Decree 16/1
16 Linngari 16/1
4 Irridescence 18/1
15 Bad Girl Runs 20/1
1 Seihali 20/1
9 Flashy Wings 25/1 (I like!!)
6 Mystical 33/1


The odds from our traveling poster (brockguy) from some book. They got him as a 3rd choice in what looks like a tossup race from these numbers. How is this? They think this many US dollars come in, or they really think Lava man has a chance. The I like is not mine.

I am not saying that I think English Channel will win, but to me, 7/1 on Lava Man and 9/1 on EC makes no sense whatsoever. EC has a MUCH better shot here than Lava Man.

[Scurlogue Champ]

Originally Posted by pgardn

Duty Free
10 Admire Moon 9/2
13 Daiwa Major 5/1
5 Lava Man 7/1
12 Miesque's Approval 8/1
11 English Channel 9/1
3 Stormy River 10/1
2 Best Name 12/1
7 Kapil 14/1
8 Pompeii Ruler 14/1
14 Formal Decree 16/1
16 Linngari 16/1
4 Irridescence 18/1
15 Bad Girl Runs 20/1
1 Seihali 20/1
9 Flashy Wings 25/1 (I like!!)
6 Mystical 33/1


The odds from our traveling poster (brockguy) from some book. They got him as a 3rd choice in what looks like a tossup race from these numbers. How is this? They think this many US dollars come in, or they really think Lava man has a chance. The I like is not mine.

****, I am betting Mystical....

I guess I am way off