Early HOY predictions

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin

I'm a big fan of Bellamy Road but I think there is only a 50/50 chance that he will ever make it back to the races. He did work 3 furlongs last week but a friend of mine who is familiar with the horse's ailments does not think that BM will ever make it back.

He will definitely 100% be back.

[Rupert Pupkin]

Originally Posted by Hoisttheflag

He will definitely 100% be back.

How do you know that? I know they are trying to bring him back and they will do whatever they can to bring him back, but that doesn't mean he will make it back. By the way, after he worked 3 furlongs in :40, he didn't work again until 19 days later. That's certainly not a good sign.
There is no horse that you can tell me will run again for a 100% fact. Horses are fragile. Even with a sound horses who has been running regularly, you don't know for a 100% fact that the horse will run again. Any horse can have a career ending injury at any time. There is never a 100% chance that any horse will run again, let alone a horse that is coming back from an injury.