Early HOY predictions

[Rupert Pupkin]

Originally Posted by 1st_Saturday_in_May

I'd say 50/50 is an overstatement. With only 2 works the EARLIEST he could return is late July, with mid-August being more likely. No horse SHOULD win the HOY with only 3 races, so I would think he's got no shot...

My friend did not say that the chances are 50/50 of the horse running in the BC Classic. He said the chances are only 50/50 of the horse ever running again.

If Bellamy Road wins HOY, I will never watch racing again.

I seriously doubt he will even be a contender. Smart move having the FARM MANAGER train him. What are his *ailments* anyway?

As for Lava Man, I think he needs to win outside of California first.

Originally Posted by Society Selection

If Bellamy Road wins HOY, I will never watch racing again.

I seriously doubt he will even be a contender. Smart move having the FARM MANAGER train him. What are his *ailments* anyway?

As for Lava Man, I think he needs to win outside of California first.

Don't believe everything you read. That horse is alive and kicking.

Originally Posted by Hoisttheflag

Don't believe everything you read. That horse is alive and kicking.

I won't!

I'll believe it when I see it.

[Rupert Pupkin]

Originally Posted by Society Selection

If Bellamy Road wins HOY, I will never watch racing again.

I seriously doubt he will even be a contender. Smart move having the FARM MANAGER train him. What are his *ailments* anyway?

As for Lava Man, I think he needs to win outside of California first.

I don't know exactly what was wrong with BM. I know he came out of the Derby with a splint injury. He came back a few months later and only ran once and got hurt again. I think he popped a splint in his other leg but I can't remember.
Anyway, even if he makes it back I highly doubt he will be the same horse. My friend says that there is no way the horse will make it back. I'll ask him what the exact problem is and why he is so sure that the horse will not make it back.

[kentuckyrosesinmay]

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin

I don't know exactly what was wrong with BM. I know he came out of the Derby with a splint injury. He came back a few months later and only ran once and got hurt again. I think he popped a splint in his other leg but I can't remember.
Anyway, even if he makes it back I highly doubt he will be the same horse. My friend says that there is no way the horse will make it back. I'll ask him what the exact problem is and why he is so sure that the horse will not make it back.

I would think that is a more serious injury than a popped splint. I know any injury can be devastating to a race horse, but I have experienced popped splints with my show horses and they do not make them go lame for an extended period of time. My show horses are usually back to their regular training regimen within a month depending on the individual animal and the circumstances. I do hope to see BR back because I really liked this horse, but I just don't think that it is going to happen.

[Rupert Pupkin]

Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay

I would think that is a more serious injury than a popped splint. I know any injury can be devastating to a race horse, but I have experienced popped splints with my show horses and they do not make them go lame for an extended period of time. My show horses are usually back to their regular training regimen within a month depending on the individual animal and the circumstances. I do hope to see BR back because I really liked this horse, but I just don't think that it is going to happen.

Yes, I'm sure you are right because he was supposed to be back a long time ago. They acted like he would be back in a few months after the Travers. Here we are over 10 months later and he only has two 3 furlong works.
A friend of mine saw BM up close in the Travers. He told me that the horse's ankle was all shaved and you could see that they were doing a lot of work on it.