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Old 03-22-2007, 12:23 PM
pgardn
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by miraja2
Yes! To me this is what it all boils down to.
I know that the majority of people agree with pgardn that the smart thing for Bailey to do for his own horse's chances would be to allow an undefeated odds-on favorite to have a completely uncontested lead, but I just don't agree with that. I think he was trying to beat Smarty because he felt that he was the horse to beat.
I have always thought that especially the way Eddington lost all interest in the race down the backstretch in his previous start (the Preakness) may also have had something to do with the agressiveness of Bailey's ride that day.
Oh well, it was 3 years ago. Nobody is going to convince anybody of anything at this point either way.
Perhaps we should get back to discussing how CQ could not possibly lose the Derby. LOL.
Well I do think most of us believe it was a great effort by Smarty. I just think Smarty was the best horse in the race. And the best horse in the race does not necessarily win.

On CQ... I like the horse. I think as it stands right now, there are a number of horses that have his closing ability that will be closer to the pace than he will be. Too many horses at this point. But like I said, they could drop out. This is all conjecture of course from way far out, but at this time, I dont see this very good horse doing it the Derby. Earlier I liked this horse more than Scat Daddy at 1.25 f... now I dont. I reserve the right to change my stance as circumstances change. And I thank you.
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