blind betting.....

[ArlJim78]

Hey Irish, what is else is there to know? You said up front it was stupid and you were right. Its on par with betting horses with braided manes, or your favorite number, or horses that take a dump in the post parade.

[2Hot4TV]

ND Man, you might try this angle over betting blindly, Just wait till after post parade and bet the underlay with the highest odds. This will at least show that the barn or betting public has some confidence the horse will run well. That being said, betting the races is a skill game and you should keep developing the tools to be proficent at it. Good Luck.

Your simulation did not contain enough data to be considered satistically significant most likely.

It is interesting that you would try something like this though.

Something like this, only on races with a certain predefined tote distribution based on some number theory, that would be very interesting.

[2 Dollar Bill]

Hey ND... Could you let me know what day and track your going to do that, and I'll make exacta bets without the horse your throwing your money away at !! If your going to throw your money up in the air.. why not bet the longest shot on the board to show each race ? You have the same chance as a post post. Or better yet why not bet the horse with the Yellow silks ?
No matter how you bet, just enjoy your day @ the track & tell your friends!

ND man.

I think the following would be interesting if you had the time and the means:

Lets say you look only for maiden two year old races with 9 or so runners. Your next criteria(um) might be two of the nine or more runners are clear favorites. Lets say even money and 3:2. This basically means that the public has put a 90% probability that 2 out of 9 or more runners will win. That means that the other 7 runners (in a nine horse field would) would have been given a 10% probability of winning. If we split that 10% probability up evenly between those seven horses that means they all go of at 69-1 (this is calculated without track out take). Now of course this will not happen so we make sure that the 3rd betting favorite has to be at odds of 10-1 or more.

So the criteria:
1. 2yo maidens, 9 or more runners
2. Two favorites in which the public deems worth a 90% probability of winning
(one even money, one at 3:2 would give you this... could be a number of other combinations of two horses though)
3. The 3rd betting favorite is at 10-1 or better.

Now I think this could be very interesting. But difficult to actually carry out.

Oh yes. You bet the 7 "slugs".

[zippyneedsawin]

I have no problem with that strategy... it's not for me, but if I were to do something like that, I'd take three numbers at random and do a dollar tri box for each race.(costs $6 per race) With this bet you are at least investing less and have a better chance at a large payout. (My brother and I have actually done this each of the past two Breeder's Cup day just for fun. Please note, it HAS NOT come in yet!! )

[sumitas]

Whatever floats your boat. Doing something like that is less stupid if you refer to the track bias. I'd bet the post position with the highest win %. If it was 1 - 3 i'd pick either the 1,2 or 3 for every race.