It is a little ridiculous to adjust it this late. In fairness, it was a tough number to make, but changing it based on what horses do next out is more than silly. The horse won on an ultra souped up rail unchallenged on the lead, so chances are he was going to run his best ever lifetime race. It also wasn't any surprise to those with any knowledge when he didn't come close to matching the number in the Gotham.
Now, he has the horse dropping from a 94 to an 83 or so. Seeing that he sat on the rail in the prior race, and was three wide on both turns in the Gotham, Beyer is saying the races were pretty much the same. Throw in that in the second that the pace was pretty slow, and one could argue (based on the current Beyers) that the horse ran just as well in the Gotham. No way in hell is that the case.
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03-15-2007, 06:37 PM
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