Nobizlikeshowbiz......

[Sightseek]

Originally Posted by ArlJim78

The questions about NoBiz are will he move forward, will he race a bit more professionally in the stretch? So far its like he wins on his immense talent alone, but he hasn't looked to me like he has moved forward off of his races yet. They've all kinda been the same to me. Maybe Saturday will be the day. He could still win even if he just performs like he has, but what I would love to see is how good this guy could be if he grows up a bit and gets serious down the lane. I still see him as having the most talent of the group so far.

Drums of Thunder seems to have underwent a nice imporvement in form since he has been stretched out, and with another small move forward could be competetive with NoBiz.

I think there are no good options for Adore the Gold. They most likely will have to send him but I don't think it will matter. I don't see him around at the finish whether they send him or rate him. This is going to be a real 2 turn acid test for him.

We are in pretty much complete agreement on Nobiz.

What do you think of Boutrous in the Lewis? After reading the comments in the DRF it sounded like his trip was dreadfully awful, but when watching the replay last night, while he didn't get free run until the winner was well on his way I didn't think it was that awful of a trip that he would have been the winner with better. I'm picking up PP's after work today so I have no idea what sort of figures he had before and earned. I also noticed French Transition is in the race...last I saw him I think was the Breeder's Futurity, has he done anything sense? I'm very fond of Great Hunter and hope all of that foundation as a two year old puts him in the right direction.

[ArlJim78]

Originally Posted by Sightseek

We are in pretty much complete agreement on Nobiz.

What do you think of Boutrous in the Lewis? After reading the comments in the DRF it sounded like his trip was dreadfully awful, but when watching the replay last night, while he didn't get free run until the winner was well on his way I didn't think it was that awful of a trip that he would have been the winner with better. I'm picking up PP's after work today so I have no idea what sort of figures he had before and earned. I also noticed French Transition is in the race...last I saw him I think was the Breeder's Futurity, has he done anything sense? I'm very fond of Great Hunter and hope all of that foundation as a two year old puts him in the right direction.

Not having seen the replay of the Boutrous race, on paper it looks like whatever trouble he had will not factor into his chances tomorrow. Figurewise? Great Hunters worst race is better than Boutrous's best race.

However, I hate betting a lowpriced favorite returning off of a long layoff in a race that they absolutely do not have to win and when the real target is a few months down the road. On paper Great Hunter wins this easy but under these circumstances I sometimes look for an upset by some up and comer who really needs the race and has more recent form. For example in this race I might look at horses like Tiago, Hurry Up Austin, or Sam P. If Great Hunter isn't quite ready or doesn't like SA for some reason you could catch a potentially huge payoff.

French Transition broke his maiden Feb 1st, with a rather uninspiring figure. Don't see him up to the task yet.